Kansas City Royals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 5/4/25 MLB Picks

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Kansas City

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Baltimore

-Recent betting trends in games played between Kansas City and Baltimore

-A summary that ties it all together produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Royals and Orioles.

Strong Game for the Royals

It was a strong game for the Royals on Saturday, and they picked up the 4-0 victory. The pitching wasn’t perfect, but they got out of a couple of games, and that led to the win. Kris Bubic got the start, and he went five innings, giving up four hits and zero runs. Kyle Isbel, Cavin Biggo, and Vinnie Pasquantino all hit a home run. 

The Royals are averaging 3.18 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.42 runs per game. The offense is ranked 28th in the league while the defense is ranked 4th. Vinnie Pasquantino has hit four home runs and driven in 20 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Royals will be Michael Lorenzen, who sits with a 3-3 record and an ERA of 3.48. Against the Tampa Bay Rays in his last start, he went six innings, giving up four hits and one run. 

Why the Royals Will Beat the Orioles

• The Royals have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
• The Orioles have lost five of their last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Royals have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games following a road win.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record

Are the Orioles Bad?

The big question for the Orioles and their fans right now is whether they are a bad team or just getting off to a slow start. They hope it’s just a slow start to the season, but if this continues, it’s going to be a long season. On Saturday, they managed zero runs total, and they need to find a way to get the offense going here, especially early in the game. The pitching actually wasn’t all that bad; they just couldn’t make the clutch hits. 

The Orioles are averaging 3.96 runs while their pitching is giving up 5.45 runs per game. The offense is ranked 20th, while the pitching is ranked 28th. Cedric Mullins has hit six home runs and driven in 20 RBIs. Getting the start for the Orioles will be Kyle Gibson, who sits with a 0-1 record and an ERA of 22.09. Against the New York Yankees in his last start, he went 3.2 innings, giving up 11 hits and nine runs. 

Total Royals Facts

• Each of the Orioles' last six day games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Royals' last nine road games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Orioles' last five games against AL Central opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in four of the Royals' last five day games against American League opponents.

Kansas City Royals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

I didn’t trust Kyle Gibson in the last game, and it was paid off in a big way in the last game as he gave up 11 hits and nine runs. Now, the Royals' offense isn’t as good as the Yankees, but don’t let that fool you, the Royals are going to have no issue. Gibson is going to get blown up early and often here. Lorenzen hasn’t been dominant this season, but he has been good, and in his last start, he gave up only one run. Unless the Orioles are scoring eight or nine runs, they aren’t going to get the job done. Back the Royals on the money line.