Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 5/3/25 MLB Picks

Toronto Blue Jays (16-16) vs Cleveland Guardians (18-14)

Game Info: Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 3:07 pm (Rogers Centre)

G. Williams (R) vs K. Gausman (R)

Betting Odds: Toronto Blue Jays -135 / Cleveland Guardians +114 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: MLB.TV

The Cleveland Guardians and Toronto Blue Jays meet Saturday in MLB action at Rogers Centre. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction. This article will include a Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays Pick.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 18-14 on the year and play the Nationals, Phillies, and Brewers next. The Cleveland Guardians are batting .233 on the season, have a .303 OBP, and a .382 slugging percentage. The Cleveland Guardians' pitching staff has a 4.31 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP. Steven Kwan leads the Cleveland Guardians with 41 hits and 15 RBI, while Jose Ramirez and Carlos Santana have combined for 56 hits and 24 RBI. 

Gavin Williams gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 2-2 with a 5.14 ERA and 28 strikeouts this season. This will be Williams’ second career game against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 16-16 on the year and play the Angels, Mariners, and Rays next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .238 on the season, have a .309 OBP, and a .351 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays' pitching staff has a 4.20 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 39 hits and 13 RBI, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and George Springer have combined for 60 hits and 30 RBI.

Kevin Gausman gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 2-3 with a 4.50 ERA and 28 strikeouts this season. Gausman is 4-5 with a 2.91 ERA and 50 strikeouts in his career against the Cleveland Guardians.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The Blue Jays have won seven of their last eight home games following a home win.
  • The Guardians have lost five of their last six road games against American League opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
  • The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road games against AL East opponents.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

  • The Guardians have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against the Blue Jays following a loss.
  • The Blue Jays have lost six of their last nine games as favorites against the Guardians following a win.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last six day games against the Blue Jays following a loss.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against the Guardians at Rogers Centre following a home win.
  • The Guardians have led after 5 innings in three of their last four road games.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • George Springer has hit at least one home run in three of the Blue Jays' last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • George Springer has recorded a Double in three of the Blue Jays' last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • George Springer has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Blue Jays' last four games against AL Central opponents at Rogers Centre.
  • Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in each of his last six home appearances against AL opponents.
  • George Springer has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine home appearances against the Guardians after playing the previous day.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Single in 10 of the Blue Jays' last 11 home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 11 Saturday appearances in day games.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in 21 of his last 22 home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Bo Bichette ranks T8th in the league in Hits (39) this season.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Steven Kwan has recorded a Double in three of the Guardians' last four games against AL East opponents.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians' last eight games against AL East opponents.
  • Carlos Santana has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five road appearances against the Blue Jays.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Guardians' last six day games.
  • Carlos Santana has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances at Rogers Centre.
  • Carlos Santana has hit a home run in each of his last five appearances against the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.

Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

The Guardians have had issues with their pitching staff over the last week, and Williams is one of those pitchers who has struggled. In his last 23 innings, Williams has allowed 26 hits and 14 earned runs while walking 13. In 14.2 road innings, Williams has a 5.52 ERA and eight walks. The Blue Jays are coming off three nice wins, and while Gausman has had issues as well this season, he’s been at his best at home, where he has a 3.00 ERA and .209 allowed batting average. Gausman is allowing just a .203 batting average in 34 innings, so it’s not like he’s getting rocked out here. Give me the Blue Jays and the reasonably cheap price. 

Randy’s Pick Toronto Blue Jays -135

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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