Nationals vs Phillies Prediction 4/30/25 MLB Picks

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 16-13 this season after they won game one in this series on Tuesday night. Philadelphia blew a 5-2 lead in the ninth, but they ended up scoring twice in the bottom of the ninth and won on a wild pitch. The Phillies recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Rojas and Schwarber, who both had two RBIs in the game. Philadelphia started Wheeler, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 6.2 innings, while Kerkering was credited with the blown save and the win. 

Prior to this series, the Phillies lost all three games against the Mets, but did win two out of three against the Marlins before that. Philadelphia has won three games in a row, and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 4.07 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .255 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 131 runs with a .249 batting average and a .336 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with eight home runs and 20 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added five home runs and 16 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 2-1 with a 3.42 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 26.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Nationals 

• The Nationals have lost 14 of their last 15 night games against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Phillies have won nine of their last 10 home games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Phillies have covered the run line each of their last five Wednesday night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Nationals have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine road games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Phillies' last nine home games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Nationals' last six night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Nationals' last six Wednesday night games against National League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in six of the Phillies' last seven night games against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Trea Turner has recorded a Double in four of the Phillies' last five games against the Nationals at Citizens Bank Park.
• Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine appearances at Citizens Bank Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies' last eight games at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances at Citizens Bank Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of the Phillies' last three night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• CJ Abrams has recorded an RBI in each of his last four road appearances after playing the previous day.
• CJ Abrams has scored a run in each of his last four road appearances after playing the previous day.
• CJ Abrams has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• CJ Abrams has recorded two or more hits in each of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Nathaniel Lowe has hit a home run in each of the Nationals' last two games against NL East opponents.

Nationals vs Phillies Prediction 

Philadelphia comes into this matchup on a three-game winning streak, and they are 10-4 at home this year. Washington has lost three of their last four games, and they are just 4-10 on the road. The Nationals nearly had a great comeback win on Tuesday night, but they fell apart in the bottom of the ninth and have to be deflated after that outcome. Jake Irvin has the better numbers on the season in this pitching matchup, but Sanchez has been very good, and I think the Phillies will have all of the momentum. Take the Phillies -1.5 here.