Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros Prediction 4/30/25 MLB Picks

Houston Astros (16-13) vs Detroit Tigers (18-12)

Game Info: Wednesday, April 30, 2025 at 2:10 pm (Daikin Park)

(L) vs (L)

Betting Odds: Houston Astros -122 / Detroit Tigers +102 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: MLBN

In this article, we will formulate a Tigers vs Astros prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 30, at Daikin Park in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers (18-12, 5-9 Away) were on a four-game winning run, during which they swept the Baltimore Orioles, but now are on the brink of being swept by the Houston Astros after losing the opening two games of the series. Gleyber Torres led the offense in the recent 6-4 defeat with three RBI, while Reese Olson took the loss after allowing three runs on four hits with seven strikeouts and three walks in 5.2 innings.

This year, the Tigers average 4.60 runs per game (11th in the MLB) on a .243/.326/.394 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Tigers’ staff has a 2.97 ERA (3rd) and 1.14 WHIP (6th). Spencer Torkelson leads the Padres with a .243 batting average, eight home runs, and 24 RBI this season.

Jackson Jobe will take the mound for the Tigers on Wednesday. The 22-year-old right-hander has a 2-0 record in four starts this year with a 2.70 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 20.0 innings.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros (16-13, 11-6 Home) swept the Blue Jays, lost two of three games to the Royals, and are now on a three-game winning streak. Houston beat Detroit 8-5 in Game 1 of the current series, followed by a 6-4 victory last night. The Astros scored six runs in the 6th and 7th innings. Yainer Diaz led the team with three RBI, while Ryan Gusto pitched for 4.1 innings in a no-decision, allowing two runs on four hits with six strikeouts and two walks. Bennett Sousa was credited with the win.

This season, the Astros average 3.90 runs per game (21st in the MLB) on a .236/.308/.354 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Astros’ staff has a 3.27 ERA (5th) and 1.07 WHIP (1st). Yordan Alvarez leads the Astros with a .219 batting average, three home runs, and 18 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Astros is AJ Blubaugh, who will get his first MLB start on his debut in the majors.

Why the Tigers will beat the Astros

  • The Tigers have won seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against AL West opponents following a loss.
  • The Astros have lost each of their last five day games against American League opponents following a win.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line each of their last nine Wednesday games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games against American League opponents following a win.
  • The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games against American League opponents.
  • The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Four of the Astros' last five day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Tigers' last three day games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in eight of the Astros' last nine home games against AL Central opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Tigers' last four day games against American League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Astros rank 3rd in the league for hits allowed this season (197).
  • The Astros rank 3rd in the league for runs allowed this season (97).
  • The Tigers rank T27th in the league for steals this season (14).
  • The Tigers rank 27th in the league for strikeouts against this season (276).

Tigers vs Astros Prediction

The Astros won six of the previous ten H2H encounters. Houston will start AJ Blubaugh, who never pitched in the majors, so I am leaning toward the Tigers in this one. Jackson Jobe is far from being an experienced MLB pitcher, as he has four starts under his belt, but he has showcased his talents so far. IN the last three starts, Jobe allowed three runs in total, so I am backing him to have another strong start on Wednesday. I am going with Detroit.

Oliver’s Pick Tigers ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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