Brewers vs White Sox Prediction 4/30/25 MLB Picks

Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

The Chicago White Sox are 7-22 this season after they dropped game one in this series. Chicago had two home runs in the first inning to lead 2-1, but they couldn’t find any offense over the last eight innings for the loss. The White Sox recorded four hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Benintendi and Robert Jr., who both hit home runs in the first inning. Chicago started Gilbert, who allowed one hit and one earned run over 2.0 innings, while Wilson allowed two hits and three earned runs over 3.1 innings for the loss. 

Prior to this series, the White Sox lost two out of three against the Athletics and two out of three against the Twins. Chicago has lost three of their last four games, and they are currently last in the AL Central standings. The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 97 runs with a .208 batting average and a .285 on-base percentage this season. Andrew Benintendi has led Chicago with five home runs and 10 RBIs, while Brooks Baldwin has added three home runs and 13 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Shane Smith, who is 1-1 with a 2.30 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP over 27.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the White Sox will beat the Brewers 

• The Brewers have lost four of their last five road games following a win.
• The White Sox have covered the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The White Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against the Brewers at Rate Field.
• The White Sox have led after 5 innings in five of their last six home night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Brewers' last 10 road games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the White Sox's last five games as underdogs against the Brewers have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Brewers' last four road games against American League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in nine of the White Sox's last 11 games as home underdogs against National League opponents.

Brewers vs White Sox Prediction 

Milwaukee was able to get a nice win on Tuesday night, which may not seem like much, but they have struggled on the road this year. Chicago has just seven wins on the season, and they are 4-9 at home. The White Sox are going with Smith on the mound, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Milwaukee is starting Myers, who allowed two earned runs and four hits over 4.0 innings in his first outing. Smith has been a bright spot for this Chicago pitching staff, and I like them to get the win at the nice plus money price.