Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 4/26/25 MLB Picks

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Houston

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Kansas City

-Recent betting trends in games played between Houston and Kansas City

-A summary that ties it all together produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Astros and Royals. 

Can Astros Bounce Back?

The Astros faced off against the Royals on Friday, and the offense just wasn’t good enough. The Astros scored zero runs and, much like has been the problem all season, they have been inconsistent. The Astros finished with only three hits, and they were probably lucky that the pitching gave up only two runs with the nine hits given up. Hayden Wesneski went five innings, giving up eight hits and two runs. 

The Astros are averaging 3.68 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.32 runs per game. The offense is ranked 24th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 4th. Getting the start for the Astros will be Framber Valdez, who sits with a 1-2 record and an ERA of 4.50. Against the San Diego Padres in his last start, he gave up seven hits and two runs. 

Why the Astros Will Beat the Royals

• The Astros have won each of their last eight games following a loss.
• The Royals have lost eight of their last nine night games against American League opponents.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last eight games following a road loss.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 night games against American League opponents.
• The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine Saturday home games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Astros' last six night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Royals' last six home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Royals' last nine night games against AL West opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in nine of the Astros' last 10 games as favorites against AL Central opponents.

Royals Are on Fire

The Royals are on fire heading into this game, and they have won five games in a row. The pitching has been really strong heading into this game, and over the last two games, they have given up only two runs total. Seth Lugo was on the mound, and he went eight innings, giving up three hits and zero runs. 

The Royals are averaging 3.1 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.71 runs per game. The offense is ranked 29th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 5th. Vinnie Pasquantino has had a strong season, and he has hit two home runs and driven in 15 RBIs. Getting the start for the Royals will be Michael Wacha, who sits with a 0-3 record and an ERA of 4.15. Against the Detroit Tigers in his last start, he went 5.1 innings, giving up seven hits and two runs. 

Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 

The Royals have played well heading into this game, but it’s not like they are going to win every game going forward, and there is a ton of value with Houston. The Royals' offense is still averaging only 3.1 runs per game, and I am not so sure they have an advantage on the mound. Sure, Valdez hasn’t been as good this season, but let’s not forget how good of a pitcher he has been. The Royals' bats are going to be ice cold here, and Houston is going to end up with the victory.