Toronto Blue Jays vs Houston Astros Prediction 4/23/25 MLB Picks

Houston Astros (11-11) vs Toronto Blue Jays (12-11)

Game Info: Wednesday, April 23, 2025 at 7:40 pm (Daikin Park)

B. Francis (R) vs R. Gusto (R)

Betting Odds: Houston Astros -108 / Toronto Blue Jays -112 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: MLBN

In this article, we will formulate a Toronto Blue Jays vs Houston Astros Prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 23nd, at Minute Maid Park. To formulate this prediction, we will look at: 

-The Blue Jays’ recent form and recent player performance

-The Asros’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Toronto

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Houston

-Recent betting trends in games played between Toronto and Houston

-A summary that ties it all together produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Blue Jays and Astros. 

Bad Game for the Blue Jays

The Blue Jays have been so inconsistent to start the season, and they really struggled again in the last game. The Blue Jays' offense scored a grand total of one goal, and that led to the defeat. Chris Bassitt got the start, and he went 5.1 innings, giving up seven hits and four runs. He struggled, but the lack of run support limited any chance to come away with the victory. Over the last two games, the Blue Jays have scored only one run total. 

The Blue Jays are averaging 3.74 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.17 runs per game. The offense is ranked 24th, while the pitching is ranked 11th. As a team, they are batting .252, which is 7th in baseball. Getting the start for the Blue Jays will be Bowden Francis, who sits with a 2-2 record and an ERA of 3.13. Against the Seattle Mariners, he went six innings, giving up five hits and one run. 

Why the Blue Jays Will Beat the Astros

  • The Astros have lost six of their last seven night games against the Blue Jays at Daikin Park following a home win.
  • The Blue Jays have won five of their last six night games against the Astros following a road loss.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line each of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Blue Jays at Daikin Park following a home win.

Can Astros Go on a Run?

The Astros have been up and down to start the season, but maybe all Houston needs is a series against the Blue Jays to get the season on track. On Tuesday, the Astros jumped out to a 3-0 lead in the first inning, and they never looked back on the way to the victory. Ronel Blanco got the start, and after some struggles this season, he also got back on the right track, going 6.2 innings, giving up two hits and one run. 

The Astros are averaging 3.82 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.59 runs per game. The offense is ranked 22nd in the league, while the pitching is ranked 4th. Jose Altuve has hit three home runs and driven in nine RBIs. Ryan Gusto is going to get the start for the Astros, and he sits with a 2-1 record and an ERA of 3.18. In his last start against the San Diego Padres, he went five innings, giving up nine hits and two runs. 

Why the Astros Will Beat the Blue Jays

  • The Astros have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
  • The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a road loss.
  • The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a win.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as road favorites against AL West opponents following a road loss.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games at Daikin Park against American League opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in nine of their last 12 games at Daikin Park.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Houston Astros Prediction

The runs are going to be hard to come by in this game. The Astros are averaging 3.82 runs, and they are going ot really struggle to get anything going here against Francis. He gave up only one run in his last start, and he’s not going to give up more than that here. Gusto has also been really good this season, and he’s going to have a strong start here. The Blue Jays' offense has been a major issue heading into this game, and it’s not going to magically get any better here. It’s going ot be a good old-fashioned pitchers duel with the under staying well under the total.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.

Dismiss