Twins vs Braves Prediction 4/20/25 MLB Picks

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 7-13 this year and they have won the first two games in this series by scores of 6-4 and 4-3. In that game two win, the Braves scored two runs in the sixth inning to erase a 3-2 deficit and escape with the win. Atlanta recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Olson, who went 2-3 with two RBIs and a walk in the win. The Braves started Sale, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 4.1 innings, while Johnson picked up the win in relief and Iglesias grabbed the save. 

Prior to this series, the Braves lost two out of three against the Blue Jays and two out of three against the Rays. Atlanta has won three of their last five games and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.36 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 71 runs with a .229 batting average and a .307 on base percentage this year. Austin Riley has led Atlanta with five home runs and 12 RBIs, while Ozzie Albies has added four home runs and 11 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Grant Holmes, who is 1-1 with a 3.78 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 16.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Twins will beat the Braves 

• The Braves have lost seven of their last eight games following a win.
• The Twins have won six of their last seven day games against NL East opponents.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games following a home win.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last four road games after playing the previous day.
• The Twins have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Braves' last eight home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Twins' last four day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Twins' last five day games against NL East opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in seven of the Braves' last nine games.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances at Truist Park.
• Michael Harris has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves' last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 home appearances against AL opponents.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit at least one home run in three of his four previous appearances with the Braves as favorites against the Twins.
• Matt Olson has recorded a Double in four of the Braves' last five games as favorites against the Twins.
• Alex Verdugo has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances at Truist Park.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Carlos Correa has hit a home run in two of the Twins' last three games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one Double in four of the Twins' last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Byron Buxton has recorded at least one Single in five of his last six appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Carlos Correa has scored a run in seven of his last eight road appearances against NL East opponents.
• Joe Ryan has recorded seven strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Twins as underdogs.
• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins' last nine games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Jonah Bride has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances after playing the previous day.

Twins vs Braves Prediction 

Atlanta comes into this matchup looking to clinch a series sweep, which would be huge for the last place team in the NL East. The Braves are 5-2 at home this year, while the Twins are 3-9 on the road. Minnesota has actually had some pretty solid pitching this year and they are starting Joe Ryan, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his four starts. On the other side, Grant Holmes will be on the mound, who has been inconsistent through three starts this year. I don’t love backing this Minnesota offense, but I will take Joe Ryan and the Twins here.