New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 4/19/25 MLB Picks

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Tampa Bay Rays

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Yankees

Recent betting trends in games played between the New York YankeesvsTampa Bay Rays

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays game

Tampa Bay Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays have an 8-12 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the AL East. The Rays have an 8-10 home record and are 8-10 in over/under. They are coming off a 0-1 home defeat by the New York Yankees and are playing the Diamondbacks and the Padres next. They have four consecutive losses and over is 6-2-2 in their last 10 games. The Rays have a .263 batting average this season, .328 OBP and .407 slugging percentage. Tampa’s pitching staff has a 3.58 ERA and 1.15 WHIP.  Jonathan Aranda leads the Rays with 21 hits, while also leading the team with a .382 batting average. Brandon Lowe leads the team in RBI, with 11.

Shane Baz (R) will take the mound for the Rays, and he has a 2-0 record, 1.42 ERA and 0.84 WHIP. He is looking sharp to start the season, with just three earned runs in 19 innings pitched across three starts. In his two starts against the Yankees last season he had a 3.75 ERA.

New York Yankees Preview

The New York Yankees have a 13-7 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the AL East. The Yankees have a 5-3 road record and are 10-8 in over/under. They are coming off a 1-0 road victory over the Rays, and now have five consecutive wins. They are 4-0-1 to the under in their last 5 games and are playing the Guardians and the Blue Jays next. The Yankees have a .256 batting average this season, .341 OBP and .467 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. Paul Goldschmidt Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 28 hits, 22 RBI and 7 home runs, as he also has a team-high .384 batting average.

Carlos Carrasco (R) will take the mound for the Yankees, and he has a 2-1 record, 5.94 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. He is coming off his best start of the season, but he has been torched by the Rays in his career, with a 6.13 ERA across three starts.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Yankees have lost each of their last seven day games against the Rays following a road win.
• The Rays have won each of their last seven day games following a home loss.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven road games against the Rays following a road win.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last five day games against the Yankees following a home loss.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as road underdogs.
• The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last five games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last five games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Rays' last 10 day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Yankees' last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in seven of the Rays' last eight games as favorites.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in five of the Yankees' last six games as underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rays rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (30).
• The Rays rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (50).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.467).

Yankees vs Rays Prediction

The Yankees have won their last three meetings against the Rays, including the first two games of this series, and are are 5-3 in their last 8 meetings in Tampa. Over is 3-1-1 in their last 4 meetings.

In this Yankees vs Rays Prediction, the Rays are coming as -140 home favorites. The Rays have the pitching advantage in this game, but the Yankees are hot again with 5 consecutive wins, while the Rays are struggling with four straight defeats. Instead of waiting for the Rays bats to come alive, I will take a look at the total which is set at 9 runs, one run higher than yesterday. Rays bats are cold right now, and the Yankees have scored more than 4 runs just twice in their last 10 games. Both teams combined for just a single run yesterday, so I don’t suddenly expect 10 runs in this one. Take the under 9.