Pirates vs Reds Prediction 4/13/25 MLB Picks

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 7-8 this season after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 5-3 and 5-2. In the game two win, the Reds hit a grand slam in the third inning and they added an insurance run in the seventh in the win. Cincinnati recorded four hits in the game and they were led by De La Cruz, who went 1-4 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. The Reds started Abbott, who allowed two hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings, while Pagan pitched the ninth inning and got the save. 

Prior to this series, the Reds won two out of three against the Giants and lost three out of four against the Brewers. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.06 ERA with a 0.96 WHIP and a .191 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 58 runs with a .200 batting average and a .272 on base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with three home runs and 16 RBIs, while TJ Friedl has added one home run and five RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Hunter Greene, who is 1-1 with a 1.31 ERA and a 0.63 WHIP over 20.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Reds will beat the Pirates 

• The Pirates have lost each of their last six games as road underdogs.
• The Reds have won five of their last six games at Great American Ball Park against teams that held a losing record.
• The Reds have covered the run line in six of their last seven home games against NL Central opponents.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games at Great American Ball Park.
• The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Pirates will beat the Reds 

• The Reds have lost eight of their last nine day games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Pirates have won three of their last four games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight Sunday day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last eight Sunday day games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Reds' last eight day games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Pirates' last five road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in seven of the Reds' last eight day games against National League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in 13 of the Pirates' last 16 day games against NL Central opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Hunter Greene has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances at Great American Ball Park.
• Jeimer Candelario has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances at Great American Ball Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds' last seven day games.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one Single in each of the Reds' last five games against NL Central opponents.
• Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in seven of the Reds' last eight games at Great American Ball Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Ke'Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven Sunday day appearances against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Jack Suwinski has scored a run in six of his last seven road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Joey Bart has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
• Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in two of his last three road appearances against the Reds.
• Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against the Reds.

Pirates vs Reds Prediction 

Cincinnati comes into this contest looking to complete the sweep with a win here and they have scored at least five runs in three straight games. The Reds have had a terrific start to the season for their pitching staff and they will start Hunter Greene, who has allowed three earned runs over 20.2 innings. Pittsburgh is going with Mlodzinski, who had a rough first outing, but did pitch well against the Cardinals last time out. Neither team is hitting the ball very well when you look at the batting averages and with Green on the mound for Cincinnati, I expect another low scoring game. Take the under here.