Nationals vs Marlins Prediction 4/13/25 MLB Picks

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 7-7 this season after they won game two in this series by a score of 7-6. Miami led 3-0 after the third inning, but they needed three runs in the fifth to pull away and they barely hung on in the ninth for the win. The Marlins recorded 11 hits and they were led by Stowers and Conine, who both had two RBIs in the win. Miami started Alcantara, who allowed five hits and four earned runs over 5.2 innings for the win, while Faucher picked up the save in the ninth. 

Prior to this series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Mets and split two games with the Braves. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.08 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 54 runs with a .242 batting average and a .315 on base percentage this season. Matt Mervis has led Miami with four home runs and eight RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added two home runs and seven RBIs so far this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Cal Quantrill, who is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 9.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Nationals will beat the Marlins 

• The Marlins have lost nine of their last 10 games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Nationals have won 12 of their last 15 games against the Marlins.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Sunday games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Nationals' last six games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Marlins' last five day games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in eight of the Nationals' last nine games as road favorites.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last five games between the Nationals and Marlins at LoanDepot Park.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Cal Quantrill has recorded four or more strikeouts in seven of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jonah Bride has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins' last nine Sunday day games as underdogs.
• Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in three of his last four Sunday day appearances at LoanDepot Park.
• Jesus Sanchez has recorded a Single in each of his last four appearances against the Nationals at LoanDepot Park.
• Jesus Sanchez has scored a run in four of his last five appearances against NL East opponents at LoanDepot Park.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Josh Bell has hit a home run in two of the Nationals' last three games against NL East opponents.
• Nathaniel Lowe has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with his team as a road favorite.
• Josh Bell has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances with his team as a road favorite.
• MacKenzie Gore has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in day games.
• Jacob Young has recorded at least one Single in 17 of the Nationals' last 18 games against the Marlins.
• Jacob Young has scored at least one run in seven of the Nationals' last eight games at LoanDepot Park.

Nationals vs Marlins Prediction 

Both of these teams have won one game so far in the series and they will look for the series win here. Washington is just 1-4 on the road this year, while Miami is 5-4 at home. The Marlins have been pretty low scoring this season, but they have scored at least five runs in three of their last four games. The Nationals have scored at least five runs in five straight games, so each offense is starting to heat up. Washington does have the pitching advantage with Gore on the mound and I like them to get the win here.