Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction 4/12/25 MLB Picks

Nationals Win 5 Of Their Last 6 Games

Keibert Ruiz has a team-high 14 strikeouts with a pair of doubles and a pair of home runs with 9 RBIs while James Wood has 13 hits with 3 doubles and a team-high 5 home runs along with 11 RBIs. Nathaniel Lowe has 12 hits with a team-high 4 doubles and 12 RBIs along with 3 home runs and 20 strikeouts. CJ Abrams has 4 home runs and 7 RBIs along with a team-high 4 stolen bases while Paul DeJong has a team-high 21 strikeouts as well this season.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Marlins have lost each of their last eight games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have won each of their last eight Saturday day games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 13 games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as road underdogs against the Marlins.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Josh Bell has hit a home run in each of the Nationals' last two games against NL East opponents.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Trevor Williams has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six Saturday appearances.
• Trevor Williams has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against NL opponents.
• Jacob Young has scored at least one run in each of the Nationals' last seven road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Jacob Young has recorded at least one Single in each of the Nationals' last eight games against the Marlins.
• James Wood ranks T6th in the league in Home Runs (5) this season.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to bounce back after starting the series on the wrong foot with their loss at the hands of the Nationals on Friday. After this series, the Miami Marlins will welcome the Arizona Diamondbacks to town.

Marlins Drop 5 Of Their Last 7

Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with 15 hits including 3 doubles and a team-high 3 stolen bases while Graham Pauley has a team-high 4 doubles. Otto Lopez has 12 hits with 2 doubles and a pair of home runs with 7 RBIs and Matt Mervis has a team-high 3 home runs and 7 RBIs so far this year. Kyle Stowers has 11 hits with a double, a triple, a home run and 6 RBIs but also leads the Marlins with 15 strikeouts so far this season.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Nationals have lost 12 of their last 13 road games after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have won six of their last eight home games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games after playing the previous day.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Marlins' last four home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his seven previous Saturday appearances at LoanDepot Park.
• Otto Lopez has scored at least one run in eight of his last 10 appearances after playing the previous day.
• Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in seven of his last eight appearances.
• Jonah Bride has hit a home run in six of his last 28 appearances against NL East opponents.
• Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Marlins' last nine games as favorites against the Nationals.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Nationals' last six games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Marlins' last five home games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Prediction

I’m on the Marlins in this one. I get the case to be made for Washington as Williams was one of the most profitable pitchers in baseball last season, but he’s had little success against Miami in recent years. The bullpen let it get away for Miami in Friday’s series opener, but Alcantara is one of those starting pitchers that can go 8 innings or longer on any given night and take the pressure off of that bullpen. I think Alcantara has another solid outing here and gets the win. Give me Miami in this one.