Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 4/12/25 MLB Picks

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Toronto

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Baltimore

-Recent betting trends in games played between Toronto and Baltimore

-A summary that ties it all together produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Blue Jays and Orioles. 

Friday’s game was rained out, and there will be a doubleheader to make up for it in July. 

Strong Start for Blue Jays

It has been a strong start for the Blue Jays, who are coming off a series against the Boston Red Sox, in which they won three of four games. In the four games, the Blue Jays gave up eight runs only. In the last game, though, the offense only scored three runs, and they ended up losing by a run. Chris Bassitt went 5.2 innings, giving up five hits and one run. In this game, they need the offense to give him some run support early to find success. 

The Blue Jays are averaging 3.71 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.5  runs per game.  The pitching has been a strength of this team all season. Geting the start for the Blue Jays will be Bowden Francis who sits with a 1-1 record and an ERA of 3.18. Against the New York Mets he went 5.1 innings giving up six hits and two runs. 

Why the Blue Jays Will Beat the Orioles

• The Orioles have lost six of their last seven games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have won five of their last six games as underdogs against the Orioles following a road loss.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games against the Blue Jays at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a loss.

Orioles Look Lost

The Orioles look lost and they have lost two games in a row. Against the Arizona Diamondbacks in the last game, the Orioles scored a grand total of zero runs and that led to the defeat. The Orioles had four hits while they allowed the Diamondbacks to finish with 14 hits. The last win came on Monday and in that game they gave up only one run on the way to the victory. 

The Orioles are averaging 4.23 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.69 runs per game. The offense is ranked 15th while the pitching is ranked 21st. One major issue is they haven’t hit a home run. This team has power hitters, but that hasn’t resulted in a ton of scoring yet this season. Getting the start for the Orioles will be Tomoyuki Sugano and he sits with a 1-1 record and an ERA of 2.89. Against the kansas City Royals in the last game he went 5.1 innings giving up five hits and one run.

Why the Orioles Will Beat the Blue Jays

• The Orioles have won 12 of their last 13 games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games against the Orioles following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 Saturday day games as road underdogs.
• The Orioles have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against the Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Orioles look lost right now and a big reason for that is the offense. It’s not going to get any easier here against Francis. Against the New York Mets in the last game he gave up only two runs and he’s not going to get even close to that number here. Sugano sits with an ERA of 2.89 and he’s going to be dominant again here. The under is 8-0 in Blue Jays last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The under is 4-0-1 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. American League East. Back the under to cash here.