Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 4/12/25 MLB Picks

Cincinnati Reds (6-8) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (5-9)

Game Info: Saturday, April 12, 2025 at 6:40 pm (Great American Ball Park)

(L) vs (L)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds -130 / Pittsburgh Pirates +110 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: MLB.TV

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds meet Saturday in MLB action at Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction. This article will include a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Pick.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 5-9 on the year and play the Nationals, Guardians, and Angels next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .194 on the season, have a .287 OBP, and a .299 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates pitching staff has a 4.31 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. Isiah Kiner-Falefa leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 12 hits and 4 RBI, while Bryan Reynolds and Ke’Bryan Hayes have combined for 22 hits and 11 RBI. 

Andrew Heaney gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 0-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 12 strikeouts this season. Heaney is 2-0 with a 0.79 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 6-8 on the year and play the Mariners, Orioles, and Marlins next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting .203 on the season, have a .270 OBP, and a .325 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds pitching staff has a 3.14 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP. TJ Friedl leads the Cincinnati Reds with 13 hits and 5 RBI while Elly De La Cruz and Gavin Lux have combined for 23 hits and 17 RBI.

Andrew Abbott gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he was 10-10 with a 3.72 ERA and 114 strikeouts last season. Abbott is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA and 16 strikeouts in his career against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

  • The Pirates have lost each of their last six Saturday games against National League opponents.
  • The Reds have won four of their last five home games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against National League opponents.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven Saturday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last eight night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games at Great American Ball Park against National League opponents.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

  • The underdogs have won four of the Pirates' last five games.
  • The Reds have lost each of their last five night games against the Pirates following a win.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last four night games against the Reds following a road loss.
  • The Reds have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against National League opponents following a win.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Reds rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (33).
  • The Reds rank T28th in the league for triples this season (0).
  • The Pirates rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (3).
  • The Pirates rank T2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (9).

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Heaney has been strong through 12 innings, allowing two runs and averaging a strikeout per inning. However, it’s hard to back the Pirates as a team as they’re just not good. I need the price to be worth it to side with the Pirates most nights. Abbott will make his season debut and I’m not a fan of guys with no sample size and starting late. Still, the Reds are showing signs of getting it together with wins in three of their last four games and that’s presuming when you consider this is a roster that should make a run toward a playoff spot. The price is cheap. Give me the Reds, as they look like they’re starting to figure things out. 

Randy’s Pick Cincinnati Reds -130

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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