Braves vs Rays Prediction 4/12/25 MLB Picks

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 6-7 this season after they won game one in this series by a score of 6-3 on Friday night. Tampa Bay trailed 1-0 after the first inning, but they were able to score the next five runs and added an insurance run in the eighth to seal the win. The Rays recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Jansen, who went 3-4 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. Tampa Bay started Bradley, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Uceta allowed two hits and two earned runs in the eighth. 

Prior to this series, the Rays lost two out of three against the Angels and were swept by the Rangers in three games. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA with a 1.09 WHIP and a .222 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 49 runs with a .258 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this season. Brandon Lowe has led Tampa Bay with three home runs and nine RBIs, while Jose Caballero has added one home run and seven RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Drew Rasmussen, who is 1-0 with a 0.90 ERA and a 0.60 WHIP over 10.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Rays will beat the Braves 

• The Braves have lost each of their last nine road games after playing the previous day.
• The Rays have won 16 of their last 19 home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last four games as home favorites against National League opponents.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six road games.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Braves' last five day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the last five games between the Braves and Rays have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in seven of the Braves' last eight games as road underdogs.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last five games between the Braves and Rays.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rays' last five home games against the Braves.
• Danny Jansen has scored a run in each of his last three appearances with his team as a favorite against NL East opponents.
• Danny Jansen has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four home appearances against the Braves.
• Drew Rasmussen has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Rays as favorites against NL opponents.
• Danny Jansen has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances against NL East opponents.
• Danny Jansen has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with his team as a favorite against NL East opponents.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays' last nine games against the Braves.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Austin Riley has scored at least one run in each of the Braves' last four games.
• Matt Olson has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Braves' last eight day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Sean Murphy has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against the Rays.

Braves vs Rays Prediction 

Atlanta comes into this game with only three wins so far this year and their offense continues to be an issue, as it is ranked 29th in the MLB in runs scored. The Braves did pick up a nice series win over the Phillies earlier this week, but they are just 0-8 on the road. Tampa Bay has won two of their last three games, but their offense has not been much better, as they are 21st in runs scored. We know Atlanta should be much better than they are currently playing, but I don’t trust their offense against Rasmussen at all. Take the Rays here.