Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 4/7/25 MLB Picks

Boston Red Sox (6-4) vs Toronto Blue Jays (5-5)

Game Info: Monday, April 7, 2025 at 6:45 pm (Fenway Park)

E. Lucas (L) vs R. Fitts (R)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -130 / Toronto Blue Jays +110 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: MLB.TV

The Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox meet Monday in MLB action at Fenway Park. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Pick.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 5-5 on the year and play the Orioles, Braves, and Mariners next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .257 on the season, have a .337 OBP, and a .372 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays pitching staff has a 4.21 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 12 hits and 4 RBI, while George Springer and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have combined for 21 hits and 9 RBI. 

Easton Lucas gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 3 strikeouts this season. This will be Lucas’ second career game against the Boston Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 6-4 on the year and play the White Sox, Rays, and Mariners next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .283 on the season, have a .363 OBP, and a .451 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 4.24 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. Alex Bregman leads the Boston Red Sox with 15 hits and 10 RBI while Wilyer Abreu and Kristian Campbell have combined for 26 hits and 17 RBI.

Richard Fitts gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 4 strikeouts this season. This will be Fitts’ second career game against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

  • The Blue Jays have lost nine of their last 10 road games.
  • The home team has won eight of the Blue Jays' last nine games.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in four of their last five games against American League opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Fenway Park.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The Red Sox have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites against AL East opponents following a home win.
  • The underdogs have won 11 of the last 14 games between the Blue Jays and Red Sox at Fenway Park.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last eight Monday night games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against the Blue Jays following a win.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Red Sox rank T2nd in the league for walks this season (45).
  • The Red Sox rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (63).
  • The Blue Jays rank T26th in the league for steals this season (3).
  • The Blue Jays rank T23rd in the league for home runs allowed this season (14).

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

The Blue Jays have put together a combined three runs in their last three games, and they’re going to need to find offense to compete in Boston. Lucas is also a pitcher with just one big league start under his belt, so he’s not somebody I’m running to the window to back. The Red Sox have found their groove with five straight wins and the offense has caught fire during this stretch. Fitts has just five career MLB starts, but he’s been sharp with a 2.36 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 26.2 innings. The price is more than fair. I’m going to ride the hot hand and side with the Red Sox.

 

Randy’s Pick Boston Red Sox -130

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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