Texas Rangers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 4/7/25 MLB Picks

The projected starting pitcher for the Rangers is Nathan Eovaldi, who has a 1-0 record in two starts this year with a 1.20 ERA and 0.47 WHIP in 15.0 innings. In his latest start, Eovaldi pitched for a complete-game shutout against the Reds, allowing four hits with eight strikeouts and no walks.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs (7-5, 2-3 Home) lost the opening series to the Dodgers in Tokyo, split a four-game series with the Diamondbacks, and then swept the Athletics and beat the Padres in two of three games. After securing five consecutive wins, the Cubs fell short 8-7 to the Padres. Kyle Tucker led the team offensively with a homer and three RBI, while Ben Brown allowed five runs on seven hits with five strikeouts and four walks in 4.0 innings in a no-decision. Ryan Pressly took a loss.

This year, the Cubs average 6.42 runs per game (3rd in the MLB) on a .246/.350/.426 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Cubs’ staff has a 4.58 ERA (20th) and 1.50 WHIP (26th). Kyle Tucker leads the Cubs with a .319 batting average, five home runs, and 15 RBI this season.

Justin Steele will take the mound for the Cubs on Monday. The 29-year-old southpaw has a 2-1 record this year with a 6.89 ERA and 1.34 WHIP over 15.2 innings of work.

Why the Rangers will beat the Cubs

• The Rangers have won 10 of their last 11 games after playing the previous day.
• The Cubs have lost seven of their last eight games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 Monday games as road underdogs.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Cubs will beat the Rangers

• The Rangers have lost each of their last six road games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Cubs have won nine of their last 10 home games against AL West opponents following a home loss.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games against AL West opponents.
• The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Cubs have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven night games against AL West opponents.
• The Rangers have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Cubs' last four games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Rangers' last six games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Cubs' last four night games at Wrigley Field.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in five of the Rangers' last six games at Wrigley Field.

Rangers vs Cubs Prediction

The Rangers won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including three of the last four. Nathan Eovaldi had a dominant start last time out, but I don't think he will get another shutout here. Steele has had a disappointing start to the season so far, and even though he faces one of the weakest offenses in the MLB, I believe he will surrender three or four runs. I like the low total for this game, and that's why I am going with Over. Seven of the last ten H2H duels went Over, which was the case in eight of the Cubs' previous ten games.