Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 4/7/25 MLB Picks

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 4-5 this season after they won two out of three against Baltimore in their last series by scores of 8-2, 1-8, and 4-1. In the last game of that series, the Royals scored four runs in the first two innings and they were able to get great pitching for the win. Kansas City recorded 13 hits in the game and they were led by Massey, who went 1-4 with two RBIs in the win. Kansas City started Bubic, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 6.2 innings for the win, while Estevez picked up the save in the ninth. 

Prior to that series, the Royals lost two out of three against the Brewers and two out of three against the Guardians. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.39 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 36 runs with a .238 batting average and a .304 on base percentage this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has led KC with one home run and eight RBIs, while Maikel Garcia has added two home runs and six RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Michael Lorenzen, who is 0-1 with a 5.06 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP over 5.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Royals will beat the Twins 

• The Royals have won each of their last 12 games at Kauffman Stadium against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have lost each of their last six night games at Kauffman Stadium following a loss.
• The Royals have covered the run line each of their last seven games at Kauffman Stadium against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against the Royals at Kauffman Stadium following a loss.
• The Royals have led after 5 innings in 13 of their last 16 games at Kauffman Stadium against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Royals have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against the Twins at Kauffman Stadium.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Royals' last 10 night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Twins' last four games as underdogs against the Royals have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in nine of the Royals' last 10 games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Twins' last four games.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit at least one home run in two of the Royals' last three night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Royals' last four night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Royals' last nine games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Michael Lorenzen has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in 16 of the Royals' last 17 games at Kauffman Stadium against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• MJ Melendez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals' last nine home games against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Harrison Bader has hit a home run in each of the Twins' last two road games against AL Central opponents.
• Byron Buxton has recorded at least one Double in three of the Twins' last four games at Kauffman Stadium against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances with the Twins as underdogs.
• Trevor Larnach has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Willi Castro has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine Monday night appearances against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Jose Miranda has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Royals.

Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 

Both of these AL Central teams have started the season below .500 through nine games, but Kansas City is coming off of a series win and they will be at home for this game. The Royals won two out of three against a good Baltimore team over the weekend, while Minnesota absolutely collapsed in their loss on Sunday. Neither pitcher was very effective in their first outing, but I do think Lorenzen is the better option and KC should have all of the momentum. Take the Royals here.