Baltimore Orioles vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 4/6/25 MLB Picks

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 3-5 on the year and play the Twins, Guardians, and Yankees next. The Kansas City Royals are batting .219 on the season, have a .293 OBP, and a .336 slugging percentage. The Kansas City Royals pitching staff has a 3.68 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. Jonathan India leads the Kansas City Royals with 8 hits and 2 RBI while Maikel Garcia and Bobby Witt Jr. have combined for 16 hits and 10 RBI.

Kris Bubic gets the ball for the Kansas City Royals, and he is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. Bubic is 0-0 with a 4.02 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Orioles have lost six of their last seven games as favorites.
• The underdogs have won six of the last seven games between the Orioles and Royals.
• The Royals have covered the run line in 16 of their last 18 home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against American League opponents following a win.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won seven of their last eight road games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Royals have lost seven of their last eight home games following a home loss.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games following a home loss.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 road games against AL Central opponents following a road win.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against the Royals at Kauffman Stadium.
• The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five home games against opponents that held a losing record.

Baltimore Orioles vs Kansas City Royals Prediction

The Orioles and Royals look like they’re stuck in the mud, as these are two sneaky contenders who are expected to make noise this season. I’m going to lean toward Kansas City in this one. The Royals are at home which can be a deciding factor in pretty much a pick 'em spot. Also, Povich has been underwhelming through 17 career starts, as he has a 5.25 ERA and 1.44 WHIP with 36 walks. Bubic was sharp in his season debut and he’s coming off a strong season where he had a 2.67 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 27 appearances. Give me the Royals at home with the more trustworthy pitcher.