Tampa Bay Rays vs Texas Rangers Prediction 4/4/25 MLB Picks

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 5-2 this season after they won two out of three against Cincinnati in their last series. Texas dropped game one by a score of 14-3, but they did win games one and two by a score of 1-0 in each game. In their last game, the Rangers scored on a Smith double in the fourth inning and their pitching staff was able to do the rest for the win. Texas recorded three hits and committed one error in the game, while they were led by Smith, who went 1-3 with the lone RBI. The Rangers started Leiter, who allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings pitched, while Webb, Garcia, Martin, and Jackson combined for four shutout innings out of the bullpen. 

Prior to that series, the Rangers won three out of four against the Red Sox by scores of 2-5, 4-1, 4-3, and 3-2. The Texas pitching staff has a 2.90 ERA with a 1.08 WHIP and a .203 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 18 runs with a .192 batting average and a .256 on base percentage this season. Adolis Garcia has led Texas with two home runs and four RBI’s, while Jonah Heim and Wyatt Langford have added two home runs each. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Tyler Mahle, who is 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA and a 3.60 WHIP over 1.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Rays will beat the Rangers 

• The Rangers have lost nine of their last 10 home games against AL East opponents following a road win.
• The Rays have won four of their last five night games following a loss.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 night games following a road win.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against AL West opponents following a home loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Twelve of the Rays' last 13 games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Rangers' last six home games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in seven of the Rays' last eight night games against American League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in five of the Rangers' last six games against AL East opponents.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Jake Burger has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Adolis Garcia has hit a home run in three of the Rangers' last four games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• Jake Burger has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Jake Burger has scored a run in nine of his last 10 appearances against AL East opponents.
• Tyler Mahle has recorded five or more strikeouts in 20 of his last 25 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Wyatt Langford has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers' last six home games.
• Josh Jung has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances at Globe Life Field against opponents that held a winning record.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Brandon Lowe has scored a run in each of his last four road appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Ha-Seong Kim has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Ha-Seong Kim has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jonny Deluca ranks T6th in the league in Steals (3) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Texas Rangers Prediction 

Both of these teams have started the 2025 season on the right foot and will look to continue that momentum here. Texas will have the home field advantage, where they are 3-1 this year, and they have allowed zero runs in their last two games. Tampa Bay has won three of their last four games and they have the pitching advantage here. Littell is a solid option for the Rays, while Mahle was awful in his first outing. Take Tampa Bay to get the road win here.