Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 4/4/25 MLB Picks

The projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers is Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who had a 7-2 record in 18 starts last season with a 3.00 ERA and 1.11 WHIP over 90.0 innings of work. Yamamoto is 1-0 this season with a 2.70 ERA in 10.0 innings.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies (5-1, 3-0 Home) won two of three games to beat the Washington Nationals in the opening series of the season, after which they swept the Colorado Rockies in a three-game series. The Phillies allowed no more than a run in each of those three wins, and in the most recent 3-1 victory, Taijuan Walker got a W after allowing no runs on three hits with four strikeouts and a walk over 6.0 innings of work.

This year, the Phillies average 6.00 runs per game (5th in the MLB) on a .299/.377/.508 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Phillies’ staff has a 3.20 ERA (9th) and 1.09 WHIP (9th). Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with a .308 batting average, four home runs, and eight RBI this season.

Jesus Luzardo will take the mound for the Phillies on Friday. The 27-year-old southpaw had a 3-6 record last season in 12 starts with a 5.00 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 66.2 innings for the Miami Marlins. This season, Luzardo is 1-0 with a 3.60 in 5.0 innings.

Why the Phillies will beat the Dodgers

• The Phillies have won 12 of their last 13 home games after playing the previous day.
• The Dodgers have lost each of their last three games as road favorites against the Phillies following a win.
• The home team has covered the run line in each of the Phillies' last four games.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line each of their last six Friday games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five night games at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents.
• The Dodgers have lost the first inning in three of their last four games at Citizens Bank Park against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against the Dodgers at Citizens Bank Park.

Total Runs Facts

• Thirteen of the Dodgers' last 15 games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Phillies' last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Phillies' last nine games against National League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in five of the Dodgers' last six games against NL East opponents.

Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction

The Phillies won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including six of the last seven, while they were better in six of the past seven duels in Philadelphia. The Dodgers are still unbeaten this season, only one of two teams without a loss yet, but I think they are going to suffer their first defeat here. The Phillies are solid at home, and they have a favorable matchup with Luzardo on the mound. The Dogers have a .198 BA against southpaws this year, while the Phillies have a .328 BA against the right-handers. I am going with the hosts to win, but you can also back them at +1.5 run line, just to make it safe.