Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Yankees Prediction 3/30/25 MLB Picks

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 2-0 this season after they won game two by a score of 20-9 on Saturday. New York jumped all over Milwaukee in the first inning with four home runs and they scored a total of 16 runs in the first four innings. The Yankees ended up with 16 hits and nine home runs, but they did commit five errors in the win. Aaron Judge went 4-6 with three home runs and eight RBI’s, while Bellinger went 3-5 with one home run and four RBI’s in the game. The Yankees started Max Fried, who allowed two earned runs and seven hits over 4.2 innings, while Carrasco allowed three earned runs and five hits over 2.0 innings to end the game. New York also won game one by a score of 4-2 on Thursday. 

Last year, the New York pitching staff had a 3.74 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while the offense scored 815 runs with a .248 batting average and a .333 on base percentage. New York was one of the best teams in the MLB at hitting and pitching last year, so they will look to replicate that this season. The Yankees were led by Aaron Judge, who hit .322 with 58 home runs and 144 RBI’s in 2024. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Marcus Stroman, who was 10-9 with a 4.31 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 154.2 innings pitched in 2024 for New York. 

Why the Yankees will beat the Brewers 

• The Yankees have won each of their last four games against the Brewers.
• The Brewers have lost four of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
• The favorites have covered the run line in each of the last four games between the Brewers and Yankees.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games.
• The Brewers have lost the first inning in four of their last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees' last five home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Brewers' last 10 games as underdogs against the Yankees have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Yankees' last six games at Yankee Stadium.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in eight of the Brewers' last nine day games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Marcus Stroman has recorded four or more strikeouts in nine of his 10 previous home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Marcus Stroman has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Yankees as favorites against NL opponents.
• Anthony Volpe has hit a home run in each of the Yankees' last three games against the Brewers.
• Aaron Judge has recorded a Double in each of the Yankees' last three games against NL opponents.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded a Single in nine of his last 10 appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
• Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Civale has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Brice Turang has hit a home run in each of the Brewers' last two road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Jackson Chourio has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Blake Perkins has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances with the Brewers as road underdogs against AL opponents.
• Sal Frelick has scored a run in each of the Brewers' last four day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers' last nine road games against opponents that held a winning record.

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Yankees Prediction 

The Yankees erupted for 20 runs in their win on Saturday and they hit nine home runs in the game, but they did have five errors in the field. New York is going to have one of the best offenses in the MLB this year and they should have more success against Civale in this game, who is a below average pitcher in my opinion. Milwaukee will look for a better pitching performance in this game, but they should also find success against Stroman, who struggled last year and will probably take another step back this year. I think we will see plenty of runs, but I am backing New York at a reasonable price.