Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction 3/27/25 MLB Picks

Texas Rangers (0-0) vs Boston Red Sox (0-0)

Game Info: Thursday, March 27, 2025 at 4:05 pm (Globe Life Field)

Garrett Crochet (L) vs Nathan Eovaldi (R)

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Where to Watch: NESN

In this article, we will formulate a Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, March 27th, at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox finished the last season with an 81-81 record and missed out on the playoffs. They experienced a solid spring training and recorded 15 wins with 12 losses but did lose the last two games to the Tampa Bay Rays and Minnesota Twins, allowing 23 runs and scoring just five in return.

Last year, the Red Sox averaged 4.64 runs per game (9th in the MLB) on a .252/.319/.423 slash line. The Red Sox's pitching staff had a 4.04 ERA (17th) and 1.25 WHIP (17th). Rafael Devers was the best offensive player for the Red Sox, with a .272 batting average, 28 home runs, and 83 RBI last season.

Garrett Crochet will take the mound for the Red Sox on Thursday. The 25-year-old southpaw had a 6-12 record in 2024 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.07 WHIP over 438.0 innings. The Red Sox got Crochet in a trade with the White Sox this offseason.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers won the World Series two years ago, but in 2024, they disappointed and ended with a 78-84 record. Missing the postseason after winning the title was underachievement, and the Rangers hope for a much better season in 2025. This spring, they had a 14-16 record and lost five of the final seven games (one tie).

Last season, the Rangers averaged 4.27 runs per game (18th in the MLB) on a .238/.305/.380 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, Texas’ staff had a 4.35 ERA (24th) and 1.29 WHIP (21st). On offense, Adolis Garcia led the Rangers with a .224 batting average, 25 home runs, and 85 RBI last season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Rangers is Nathan Eovaldi, who went 12-8 with a 3.80 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 512.0 innings pitched in 2024.

Why the Red Sox will beat the Rangers

  • The Rangers have lost each of their last four season openers against American League opponents.
  • The Red Sox have won eight of their last 10 day games against AL West opponents.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven season openers as underdogs.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last four road openers against American League opponents.
  • The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six day games.

Why the Rangers will beat the Red Sox

  • The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
  • The Rangers have won three of their last four games as home underdogs.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The Rangers have covered the run line in four of their last five games against American League opponents.
  • The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the last eight games between the Red Sox and Rangers have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Eight of the Red Sox's last 10 games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Red Sox's last nine road games against American League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rangers' last seven Thursday day games.

Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction 

The Red Sox won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including three of the last four. I don't have a lot of confidence in these two starters, and considering that eight of the last ten H2H duels went Over, I am going with another high-scoring affair here. Crochet had two starts against Texas last year and averaged a 5.63 ERA. Siz of the previous seven H2Hs at Texas produced at least eight runs. I expect to see a minimum of eight on Thursday, so make sure to back Over.

Oliver’s Pick Over 7.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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