Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Prediction 3/27/25 MLB Picks

San Diego Padres (0-0) vs Atlanta Braves (0-0)

Game Info: Thursday, March 27, 2025 at 4:10 pm (Petco Park)

Chris Sale (L) vs Michael King (R)

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Where to Watch: FanDuel SN South

In this article, we will formulate an Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, March 27th, at PETCO Park in San Diego, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves had an 89-73 record last year and finished third in the NL East with six wins behind the Philadelphia Phillies. In the Wild Card, the Braves met the San Diego Padres and lost both games. This spring, the Braves recorded 13 wins and 13 losses. They ended the spring training with four wins in seven games (two tied and a loss).

Last season, the Braves averaged 4.35 runs per game (15th in the MLB) on a .243/.309/.415 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, Atlanta’s staff had a 3.49 ERA (tied 1st) and 1.20 WHIP (3rd). Marcell Ozuna led the Braves with a .302 batting average, 39 home runs, and 104 RBI last season. 

The projected starting pitcher for the Braves is Chris Sale, who went 18-3 with a 2.38 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP over 533.0 innings pitched in 2024.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres was second in the NL West last season with a 93-69 record, five wins behind the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Padres defeated the Braves 2-0 in the Wild Card Round and then had a 2-1 lead against the Dodgers in the Divisional Round, but the Dodgers came from behind to win the series and later win the World Series. San Diego finished the spring with a 12-17 record.

Last year, the Padres averaged 4.49 runs per game (8th in the MLB) on a .263/.324/.420 slash line. The Padres' pitching staff had a 4.13 ERA (6th) and 1.22 WHIP (6th). Manny Machado was the best offensive player for the Padres, with a .275 batting average, 29 home runs, and 105 RBI last season. 

Michael King will take the mound for the Padres on Thursday. The 29-year-old right-hander had a 13-9 record in 2024 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.19 WHIP over 521.0 innings.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Padres have lost each of their last three season openers against National League opponents.
  • The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against National League opponents.
  • The Braves have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against NL West opponents.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

  • The Padres have won seven of their last eight games at Petco Park.
  • The Braves have lost five of their last six day games against NL West opponents.
  • The Padres have led after 3 innings in six of their last eight games.
  • The Padres have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games against the Braves at Petco Park.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the Padres' last nine games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Braves' last five games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Padres' last six day games at Petco Park.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Braves' last five road games against National League opponents.

Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Prediction 

The Padres won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including three of the last four. It's an Opening Day, and anything could happen here, so backing a winner is a bit tricky. I am going with Under because the Braves will start Chris Sale, who had the best season of his career last year and dominated the Padres in two starts against San Diego in 2024, allowing just 0.75 ERA on average. Michael King didn't allow a single RBI in 26 career at-bats against the Braves' current hitters, so I expect a low-scoring affair and both pitchers to go deep into the game. Back Under.

Oliver’s Pick Under 7

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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