MLB Team Win Total Predictions for The 2025 Season

Alrighty, let's get into it. Here are the win totals I'm looking at for the 2025 campaign. first up, we'll go to the AL East, as we have two teams I'm looking at in this division. The other three Red Sox Rays and Yankees just don't see a lot of value either way with those i know the Red Sox are a team that a lot of people love going into the year both for a win total over and a potential dark horse in the American League i think that love is a little bit too much for me and I think it's pushing the price a little bit too much so that's why I'm going to stay away the Raysare a big question mark for me i do think they finished below 500 but you never want to count out Kevin Cash and the Yankees all those injuries a high win total i'm just going to stay away for me it's the Orioles and the Blue Jays and I think the Blue Jays go over their win total this is a team only won 74 games last year but they were very unlucky at 19 and 30 in one run contest they were just not a great team in close games and a lot of that because their bullpen really struggled but there's some bigname relievers that have put together really solid careers in the majors in this bullpen that I think bounced back from a disappointing 2024 the same thing goes for in the rotation guy like Kevin Gausman who was pitching really well the previous years struggled quite a bit last season it's going to take a bounceback year for Gauin.

I don't think he gets to that Cy Young caliber pitcher he once was, you know, just a couple years ago but I think he's a much better option in this rotation this year. then you look at the lineup, you know this is a team that struggled offensively at times, but I remember in the final month of the regular season last year, even though Toronto was not in the playoff race or, you know, not in playoff range, they were still playing competitive ball offensively and starting to get things up they add in Andre Jimenez. I don't really love his bat but he doesn't strike out much puts the ball in play, and he's an excellent glove. I mean, he's definitely going to be one of the best defenders in baseball, and then Anthony Santander is one of the best power hitters in baseball. switch hitter is really going to help that lineup kind of that protection for Vlatty in the middle of that lineup i think Toronto is a better team this year i like their win total over 78 and a half wins now for the Orioles I do expect this team to take a bit of a step back in 2025 we see their win total is already at 87 and a half games after Baltimore won 91 games in 2024 i can still definitely see this team making a wild card spot but with the Yankees still a very solid team and the Red Sox improved even the Blue Jays improving quite a bit, I just can't see this team winning the division i don't think they win the necessary games to get over this win total in the offseason you lose Santander you do bring in Tyler O'Neal so a decent replacement for the power there but in the rotation I think that's where the Orioles have the biggest question mark. You lose your ace

in Corbin Burnes, John Means is gone you know this is a rotation that has Zack Efflin as your ace and I think Zack Efflin's had some solid years recently but not necessarily a number one I'd want to have in the rotation. Sugano and Charlie Morton are big question marks with Sugano playing in his first season  in the majors and Morton now at the age that he's at. I mean, you just can't expect him to be at that ace level that he once was as well. I just think that the Orioles take a step back this year I think they're young enough to where this doesn't necessarily have to be you know a disappointing season they can build for next year and beyond I mean this is such a young core that's got so much talent that the Orioles I mean they could very well find themselves in a spot where they buy at the deadline this year and maybe improve their second half but I just don't see it enough to win 90 or 88 games I got to go under the win total for the Baltimore Orioles in 2025.

Next up we'll go to the AL Central. this is an interesting division because a lot of people are talking about the Royals and the Tigers the fact that they were able to make the playoffs last year the Tigers needed that second half surge and they got it I mean Tarik Skubal was the Cy Young best pitcher in baseball the Royals Bobby Wood Jr one of the best players in baseball runner up to judge in the AL MVP voting the Guardians are a team that nobody wants to give up on and for good reason i mean a team that no matter who's on paper you know who's on the roster they continue to win ball games but not a lot of people are talking about the Minnesota Twins this year the favorite to win this division and I think they're favored for a good reason. I like Minnesota to win this division at plus 200 odds. Right now, you can shop those numbers, but when you look at Minnesota, there are not many better teams out there from a pitching standpoint, both the rotation and the bullpen. The bullpen is one of the best in baseball, the rotation is one of the best, and two, three punches in baseball in Lopez, Joe Ryan, and Bailey Ober. Bailey Ober and then Chris Paddock is also having a decent spring training this season 16 strikeouts in 14 and third innings limiting the walks as well the control's been a lot better if he can be a solid number four with Simeon Woods Richardson back at the five this is a dangerous Twins team if the lineup can stay healthy guys like Carlos Correa and Byron Buxton some of the best players in the American League. I think the Twins are a very dangerous team because not a lot of people are talking about them i like their chances to win the division this year. 

Next up we have the AL West and this is a division I'm looking at a few teams and we'll start in the bottom of the division i just don't see how the Angels I mean the Angels in the Athletics right now have the same win total at 72 and a half wins you can shop the numbers and see you know what which book has what but I think the Athletics win more games than the Angels by a good margin i I like the A's over i like the Angels under and I just think theAthletics when you look at this team in all facets of the game I think they are the superior team i think the rotation's a lot better Severino and Springs very solid one-two punch for a team like Oakland beo pitched really well at times in last season and JP Sears also had his moments in 2024 joby Estas the samething i think both Sears and Estus, while they're not going to be able to be consistent you know sub 4 ERA guys they're not going to be bad four five optionsrather than the one two three optionsthey were forced to be last year i thinkthe rotate I think the bullpen's a lot better i think the lineup is also a very underrated lineup i mean Brent Rooker Lawrence Butler JJ Blade Shay Langalers that's a solid top four compared to the to the Angels who have Mike Trout and a bunch of guys that are probably going to be interchanged in this lineup for the rest of the season and that's if Trout stays healthy for the season which wehaven't seen for quite a while i I just don't see how the Angels finish with a better record than Oakland so Ilike the Oakland A's over the Angelsunder now for the Houston Astros this isa team that because of Kyle Tucker'sdeparture and some of the new faces in the lineup and the rotation they're not being talked about enough in my opinion as the most complete team in this division add to the fact that they had adisappointing season last year which still ended up winning a division but for for you know for their standards it was a disappointing year only winning 88 games the Rangers and the Mariners are being talked about as a top two team in this division a little bit too much for my liking the Rangers still have big-time question marks in their rotation and the bullpen and it's the opposite issue for the Mariners who have a great rotation excellent bullpen but one of the worst lineups in baseball from last year i don't think either teamaddressed their weaknesses enough to compete with Houston this year houston's still a very talented team one of the

best rotations in baseball. Their lineups should be fine, and they're a team that last year was really unlucky in close games. They were 19 and 30 in one run excuse me 18- 27 in one-run games and 6-10 in extra innings games last year I think the Astros win over their win total for sure i think they win the division as well i'm going to take Houston to win the division and go over the win total.

Next up we'll go to the NL East and this is a division I've talked a bit about this year in in the offseason in spring training as I think the Nationals are a team to watch out for as a dark horse this year the kind of my pick to be the Royals of last year which was a team that had a very low win total not a lot of expectations but went on a run and made the playoffs as a wildcard spot for me the only thing holding Washington back in terms of making the playoffs is the tough division that they're in i mean the Phillies Braves and Mets are all capable of winning the division this year so Washington while I don't think they make the playoffs I still think though they win 75 plus games this season they should be able to pick up all the W's possible against the Miami Marlins and some of the weaker teams in the Central and the West and I just think that this is a young team to watch out for in the coming years. The lineup's in a lot better place the rotation's better than expected and the bullpen also I think is going to be better than what we saw from last season while I don't think it'll be much better good enough to keep them competitive in a lot of these games give me the Nationals over their win total in 2025

Now, for the New York Mets in this division, as I have mentioned many times, I think this win total is way too steep.  I think the expectations are way too high and while Juan Sto is one of the best players in baseball I don't think he's enough to get this team to win 92 91 games to get it over the win total i like the under for the New YorkMets i think the rotation's in not a great spot sha Maniah and Frankie Montas are injured Kodi Senga has been you know very injury-prone recently those are your top three arguably pitchers in the rotation that are not going to be available potentially zena should be in

the rotation to start the first week but I think when you look at you know Clay Holmes as your opening day starter a guy that's never had a starting pitching job at the major league level the stamina the workload is definitely a concern there while he pitched very well in spring training, I'm not sure he can be the number one option for very long I mentioned my concerns with David Peterson in terms of regression Tyler Megill the same thing. I don't love this Mets rotation. I think the bullpen's okay, but I think it's very thin, a couple of injuries away from being in a really bad spot and I think the lineup is also very top heavy with guys like Lindor Soto and Alonzo are excellent options but the bottom half is not great. I think Vientos is due for a regression-riddled season after producing, you know, great numbers last year but the underlying numbers are not great for him from last year. Right now, Winker is the projected starting lineup player.

I can't get there with most of them to be everyday starters you know, Francisco Alvarez going down was a big loss and Tor is a decent backup but not a starting everyday catcher i think the Mets are in not a great place right now, and I think this win total is way too steep give me the under for the Mets also add to the fact they went 28 and 16 in one-run games they were one of the more fortunate teams in baseball last year give me the under next up we have the NL Central i think this is the toughest division to predict this season because I think the Brewers, Pirates, Cubs, and Reds are all capable of winning this division, you know, just based on talent and the players on paper but they're also capable of being not-so-great teams this year, finishing with a below-500 record I think the volatility is really there in the NL Central and for me I'd rather take a shot on a team like the Cincinnati Reds to win the division than do anything else in this division I don't want to look at these win totals uh you know at - 110 - 120 odds i'd rather go at plus 450 for Cincinnati to shoot for the moon and win the division because this lineup is going to be veryvery solid in 2025 especially if they can stay healthy which was their issuelast year i don't love the rotation i think I think Hunter Green takes a step back i think he regresses quite a bit I don't really love the fit for Brady Singer in and Great American Ballpark the bullpen we know is not great on paper but the lineup should win a lot of games for Cincinnati this season enoughto make them a fun enough team to winenough games maybe be buyers at the deadline and find a way to win this division. I think it's a division that's certainly up for grabs and I'd like to have plus 450 on my side with the Cincinnati Reds to win the NL Central.

Next up, after the toughest division to predic,t I think this is the easiest one to go for the Dodgers winning the NL West at -600 odds while it's a very steep price I still think there's value with LA to win this division. You may be asking Ron how you can find value at -600. I think the term value is really one of the more overused and abused terms in all of sports betting because I think a lot of people think that value always has to mean plus money and that's not the case you could find value at any any price any odds possible just depending on the wager i mean think about it if somebody gave you -600 odds that the temperature outside tomorrow wherever you live is under 149 degree Fahrenheit you'd take that all day long. it's not going to be 149-150 degrees outside tomorrow so even though you have to lay a little bit of juice and lay a lot to make a little it's still an absolute lock. The Dodgers may not be that much of a lock but I still think they win this division 90 plus% of the time for this to actually be a profitable and you know smart wager I mean at minus 600 you have to win this bet about 86% of the time i think the Dodgers win this division 90 plus percent for me this was a World Series champion that was so dominant last year that added two ace level starting pitchers in Roki Susaki and Blake Snellto the rotation and so now even if some of the players some of the pitchers go down with injuries which we've seen guys like Glass Now and Yamamoto have some injury concerns you've got the depth now in the rotation you added Kirby Yates in the bullpen which is already one of the best bullpens in

baseball the lineup we know is excellent you know Michael Conorto now at the backend show is going to pitch this year youknow potentially if he doesn't still an MVP caliber player that won it last year i just don't see a world I think the Diamondbacks got worse and then the Giants and Padres certainly got worse so I don't see a world where the uh Dodgers lose this division unless it's a you know devastating bad luck and devastating injuries in a row i mean Mookie Bets is sick right now we'll see if he can come back but I still think Dodgers win this division pretty easily so give me LA to win the division not necessarily the win total over it's in 103 wins it's too steep for me give me the division winner because the Dodgers can still win 95 96 games and win this division also I like the Rockies to go over their win total i think this is a way too low of a win total for Colorado i mentioned the Padres's the Giants have gotten worse this year i think the Rockies pick up some extra wins there and they're going to have a solid home record at Coors Field give me the Rockies over 61 and a half wins and that's it.

Those are the win totals and futures that I'm looking at for the 2025 campaign really thank all of you for tuning in to this video and I can't wait to see you on Wednesday night for the first MLB rundown of the 2025 season again if you're looking for my best bets and you're looking for that MLB season pass which gets you every single premium selection I release in baseball this year you can find that at Pick Dogs Premium and there will be a link in the description as always this is Ron. Good luck!