LA Dodgers vs New York Yankees Prediction MLB Picks 10/29/24

NY Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are facing elimination in this game after losing game three by a score of 4-2 on Monday night. New York allowed two runs in the first inning and they were never really in the game until Verdugo hit a two-run homer in the bottom of the ninth. The Yankees have scored 3, 2, and 2 runs in the first three games of this series, so the offense is clearly not getting it done. New York had a great chance to win game one and they left the bases loaded in game two, but game three was never in doubt for LA. Prior to this series, the Yankees defeated the Guardians in five games and the Royals in four games. 

The New York pitching staff had a 3.74 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average in the regular season. The Yankees' offense scored 815 runs with a .248 batting average and a .333 on-base percentage this year. Aaron Judge hit .322 with 58 home runs and 144 RBIs for the Yankees this season.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for LA is TBD. It looks like the Dodgers will be using a bullpen game for game four. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Luis Gil, who is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP over 4.0 innings pitched this postseason. Gil allowed two earned runs and three hits over 4.0 innings against Cleveland in his only postseason appearance. 

Why the Yankees will beat the Dodgers

• The Yankees have won five of their last six night games following a home loss.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as road underdogs following a road win.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Dodgers' last eight night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Yankees' last three home games after playing the previous day has gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Yankees' last three games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Dodgers' last three road games.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last two World Series Game 4s.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one total base in 28 of his last 29 appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL West opponents.
• Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against the Dodgers after playing the previous day.
• Jazz Chisholm has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against NL opponents.
• Juan Soto has recorded a Single in each of his last six home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Juan Soto has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against the Dodgers after playing the previous day.
• Aaron Judge has hit a home run in five of his last six home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in 28 of his last 29 appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL West opponents.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Mookie Betts has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with the Dodgers as road underdogs.
• Freddie Freeman has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances with the Dodgers as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances with his team as an underdog against AL opponents.
• Freddie Freeman has hit a home run in each of his last five playoff appearances against AL opponents.
• Freddie Freeman has recorded two or more total bases in each of his 10 previous appearances with the Dodgers as road underdogs against AL opponents.
• Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last seven appearances with the Dodgers as road underdogs against AL opponents.
• Andy Pages has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The New York Yankees rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (815).
• The New York Yankees rank 3rd in the league for RBIs this season (782).
• The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for RBIs this season (815).
• The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.335).

LA Dodgers vs NY Yankees Prediction 

New York comes into this game with their backs against the wall and they are facing elimination, but they are still a very talented lineup that could wake up. Los Angeles is one win away from a World Series title and they dominated game three. New York really needed to win game one in LA, but they couldn’t hold either of their leads late in the game. I find it hard to believe that the Yankees are going to get swept here and I also think this is a perfect time for their offense to wake up. The Dodgers are expected to go with a bullpen game, which always has the possibility of going south quickly. Gil isn’t a great option for the Yankees, but he should at least provide 4-5 innings. Take New York here.