San Diego Padres vs LA Dodgers Prediction MLB Picks 10/11/24

LA Dodgers (100-66) vs San Diego Padres (97-71)

Game Info: Friday, October 11, 2024 at 8:08 pm (Dodger Stadium)

TBD () () vs Yu Darvish (8-3) (3.15)

Betting Odds: LA Dodgers -145 / San Diego Padres +120 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a San Diego Padres vs LA Dodgers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, October 11th at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California. To formulate this prediction for game five in the NLDS, we will examine:

  • The Padres recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Dodgers recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving San Diego
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving LA
  • Recent betting trends in games played between San Diego and LA
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between San Diego and LA

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres had a chance to eliminate the Dodgers on Wednesday night, but they fell behind early and never got back into the game. San Diego did win games two and three by scores of 10-2 and 6-5, but will have to go on the road for this decisive game. The Padres had hit the ball very well to open this series, but they need to find answers after getting shut out in game four. Prior to this series, the Padres swept the Braves in two games by scores of 5-4 and 4-0. 

The San Diego pitching staff had a 3.86 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average this year. The Padres offense scored 760 runs with a .263 batting average and a .324 on base percentage in the regular season. Manny Machado hit .275 with 29 home runs and 105 RBI’s for the Padres this season. 

LA Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers picked up a huge win in game four of this series by a score of 8-0, and they were able to stay alive for one more game. Los Angeles opened the series with a 7-5 win in game one, but did drop games two and three. The Dodgers have scored at least five runs in three of the four games in this series. Prior to the postseason, the Dodgers swept the Rockies, won two out of three against the Padres, and won two out of three against the Rockies. 

The Los Angeles pitching staff had a 3.90 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average this year. The Dodgers offense scored 842 runs with a .258 batting average and a .335 on base percentage during the regular season. Shohei Ohtani hit .310 with 54 home runs and 130 RBI’s for the Dodgers this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Yu Darvish, who allowed one earned run and three hits over seven innings against the Dodgers earlier in this series. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is TBD. The Dodgers might be going with another bullpen game, like they did in game four. 

Why the Padres will beat the Dodgers

  • The Padres have won each of their last six games as underdogs against the Dodgers following a loss.
  • The Dodgers have lost seven of their last eight playoff games as favorites against NL West opponents.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against the Dodgers following a loss.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight playoff games as favorites against NL West opponents.
  • The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games as underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Dodgers' last seven night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Padres' last five playoff games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Dodgers' last six night games.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Padres' last six games against National League opponents.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Mookie Betts has hit a home run in each of the Dodgers' last two games against NL West opponents.
  • Chris Taylor has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances with the Dodgers as favorites.
  • Shohei Ohtani has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Dodgers' last nine games against NL West opponents.
  • Shohei Ohtani has scored at least one run in eight of the Dodgers' last nine home games.
  • Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one total base in each of the Dodgers' last eight games as favorites against NL West opponents.
  • Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers' last eight games as favorites against NL West opponents.
  • Shohei Ohtani ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (59) this season.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded a Double in four of his last five playoff appearances against the Dodgers.
  • Yu Darvish has recorded a win in each of his last five road appearances.
  • Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Padres' last five road games against the Dodgers.
  • Jackson Merrill has scored at least one run in each of the Padres' last five games as underdogs against the Dodgers.
  • Yu Darvish has recorded five or more strikeouts in 21 of his 26 previous appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last seven appearances in night playoff games.
  • Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres' last 10 Friday night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Luis Campusano has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Padres as underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Ha-Seong Kim has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jurickson Profar ranks 7th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.380) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for RBI's this season (815).
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.335).
  • The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (1077).
  • The San Diego Padres are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.

San Diego Padres vs LA Dodgers Prediction 

Los Angeles comes into this game with all of the momentum in this series, after they won 8-0 in game four to fight off elimination. The Dodgers might be without Freeman in this game and it sounds like a bullpen game is possible, so there is some uncertainty surrounding this LA team. San Diego is going with Yu Darvish, who has been very good this season and pitched well in game two. I know the Dodgers are at home and have the momentum, but I like Darvish on the mound for the Padres. Take San Diego to win. 

David’s Pick Padres ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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