New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB Picks 9/30/24

Atlanta Braves (88-71) vs New York Mets (87-72)

Game Info: Monday, September 30, 2024 at 1:10 pm (Truist Park)

Spencer Schwellenbach (8-7) (3.47) vs () ()

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -143 / New York Mets +121 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The New York Mets and Atlanta Braves meet Monday in a MLB doubleheader at Truist Park. Here’s a New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction. This article will include a New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 88-72 on the year after playing the Phillies and Brewers. The New York Mets have scored 9 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 9 games. The New York Mets have won 4 of their last 5 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Francisco Lindor leads the New York Mets with 167 hits and 88 RBI while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 270 hits and 176 RBI.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 88-72 on the year after playing the Marlins and Royals. The Atlanta Braves have scored 7 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 9 games. The Atlanta Braves have won 5 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Marcell Ozuna leads the Atlanta Braves with 182 hits and 102 RBI while Matt Olson and Orlando Arcia have combined for 266 hits and 144 RBI.

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Pick Matchup

The New York Mets will start Tylor Megill and Luis Severino. Megill is 4-5 with a 3.98 ERA and 83 strikeouts. Severino is 11-7 with a 3.91 ERA and 161 strikeouts.

The Atlanta Braves will start Spencer Schwellenbach and Chris Sale. Schwellenbach is 8-7 with a 3.47 ERA and 122 strikeouts. Sale is 18-3 with a 2.38 ERA and 225 strikeouts.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Sean Murphy has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances against the Mets.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances against the Mets at Truist Park.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Braves' last eight home games against the Mets.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Gio Urshela has hit a home run in each of the Braves' last three day games.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against the Mets at Truist Park.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in 17 of his last 18 appearances against NL East opponents at Truist Park.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • J.D. Martinez has scored at least one run in 11 of his last 12 road appearances against the Braves.
  • Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mets' last 18 games against NL opponents.
  • Francisco Lindor has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances against NL East opponents.
  • J.D. Martinez has hit at least one home run in two of his last three appearances against the Braves at Truist Park.
  • Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets' last 18 games against NL opponents.
  • Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in 17 of the Mets' last 18 games against NL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (599).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 29th in the league for steals this season (67).
  • The New York Mets rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (577).
  • The New York Mets rank 5th in the league for home runs allowed this season (163).

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

Game 1 Prediction: The most important game in this doubleheader is game 1, as the winner clinches a playoff spot and can rest all of their players while saving a key starter. Megill has allowed just 4 earned runs in his last 20 innings, while Schwellenbach has allowed 9 earned runs in his last 29.2 innings. Both pitchers in great form and this will have the feel of a playoff game. Pitching and defense probably rules the way. I'm going with the under in the first game.

Game 2 Prediction: Game 2 is a pick you'd make based on the winner of game 1. Again, whoever wins the first game already clinches and is probably resting guys. I wouldn't expect Severino or Sale to start this game, depending on the winner of the first contest. It's strictly about making the dance. One of these scheduled starters would be saved for the wild card series. That gives the loser of game 1 a massive edge in game 2. So, my pick in game 2 is whoever loses the first game. Sorry, Arizona Diamondbacks. 

Randy’s Pick Game 1: Under / Game 2: Whoever Loses Game 1

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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