New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction MLB Picks 9/29/24

Milwaukee Brewers (91-68) vs New York Mets (87-70)

Game Info: Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 3:10 pm (American Family Field)

() () vs Luis Severino (11-7) (4.05)

Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers / New York Mets --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

The New York Mets and Milwaukee Brewers meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at American Family Field. Here’s a New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction. This article will include a New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 87-72 on the year and play the Braves next. The New York Mets have scored 5 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 games. The New York Mets have won 4 of their last 5 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Francisco Lindor leads the New York Mets with 165 hits and 86 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 269 hits and 175 RBI.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 93-68 on the year after playing the Diamondbacks and Pirates. The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 19 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games. The Milwaukee Brewers have won 5 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 167 hits and 92 RBI, while Willy Adames and Jackson Chourio have combined for 297 hits and 191 RBI.

New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Pitching Pick Matchup

David Peterson gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 9-3 with a 3.08 ERA and 93 strikeouts this season. Peterson has allowed 26 hits and 10 earned runs in his last 21.2 innings. Peterson has a 2.88 ERA and .246 allowed batting average in 65.2 road innings. Peterson is 1-1 with a 6.14 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Colin Rea gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 12-5 with a 4.17 ERA and 130 strikeouts this season. Rea has allowed 25 hits and 15 runs in his last 16 innings. Rea has a 3.92 ERA and .224 allowed batting average in 87.1 home innings. Rea is 3-0 with a 1.40 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

Why the New York Mets will win

  • The Mets have won each of their last five day games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
  • The Brewers have lost four of their last five day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against NL East opponents following a home win.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • Christian Yelich has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brice Turang has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances against the Mets.
  • Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one total base in 16 of his last 17 appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Jackson Chourio has scored at least one run in eight of the Brewers' last nine day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Gary Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers' last six day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets' last 17 games against NL opponents.
  • Jeff McNeil has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Pete Alonso has scored a run in five of the Mets' last six games against NL Central opponents.
  • Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in 16 of the Mets' last 17 games against NL opponents.
  • Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mets' last 17 games against NL opponents.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Mets' last five day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Milwaukee Brewers rank T4th in the league for triples this season (33).
  • The Milwaukee Brewers rank 4th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.326).
  • The New York Mets rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (573).
  • The New York Mets rank 5th in the league for home runs allowed this season (163).

New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

The New York Mets aren't helping their case for a wild card spot, but they still have life and David Peterson has been great this season, especially on the road where he has a 2.88 ERA. The Milwaukee Brewers are already locked into a wild card series with the third seed, so there's not nothing to play for in this spot. It's even weird to see Colin Rea get the nod, given the series starts on Tuesday. Strange. Bottom line is, I'm siding with the Mets, the team that needs to win more.

Randy’s Pick New York Mets

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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