Kansas City Royals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB Picks 9/29/24

Atlanta Braves (86-71) vs Kansas City Royals (85-74)

Game Info: Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 3:20 pm (Truist Park)

Charlie Morton (8-9) (4.08) vs Alec Marsh (8-9) (4.65)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -250 / Kansas City Royals +205 --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Kansas City Royals and the Atlanta Braves meet Sunday in MLB action from Truist Park. Here’s a Kansas City Royals vs Atlanta Braves prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Royals vs Braves pick. We will examine:

The Kansas City Royals recent form and player performance

The Atlanta Braves recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Kansas City Royals

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Atlanta Braves

Recent betting trends in games played between the Royals and Braves

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Royals vs Braves game

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Royals played the Washington Nationals in their last set. Kansas City took a sweep in that one with wins 1-0, 3-0 and 7-4. Following a 3-0 loss to Atlanta in their opener, on Saturday the Royals took a 2-1 loss.

Alec Marsh will start for KC on Sunday. Marsh is 8-9 with a 4.65 ERA in 25 games (24 starts) this year.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

Over on the Braves’ side, they took on the Mets for one game on Tuesday (a 5-1 win). The other two games in that set will be made up Monday. On Saturday Atlanta had five hits in the victory.

Atlanta will send out Charlie Morton on Sunday as starter. Morton is 8-9 with a 4.08 ERA in 29 games so far.

Total Runs Facts

  • Fourteen of the Braves' last 15 home games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Royals' last seven road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Braves' last five home games.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves' last four day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Matt Olson has hit at least one home run in three of the Braves' last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Matt Olson has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Braves' last eight day games.
  • Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 16 appearances against AL opponents at Truist Park.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in six of his last seven appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against AL Central opponents.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

  • Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit a home run in five of the Royals' last seven day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven road appearances against NL opponents.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Michael Lorenzen has scored a run in each of his last three appearances.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL East opponents.

Kansas City Royals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

I might try the Royals on a value play here. Marsh is coming off a bit of a rough outing, taking a loss versus Detroit with three earned in 2.2 innings. Prior to that however, Marsh had 10.1 innings with three earned runs on nine hits and two walks in a pair of starts.

On Saturday the Royals got a nice start from Seth Lugo (2.0 innings; one hit; one walk) and couldn’t supplement the pitching performance with the bats. I like Kansas City to bounce back Sunday, though. If Marsh can keep things manageable in the meantime the Royals should have a reasonable shot. 

Andrew’s Pick Kansas City Royals +205

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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