Chicago Cubs (82-78) vs Cincinnati Reds (76-84)
Game Info: Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 3:20 pm (Wrigley Field)
Caleb Kilian (0-1) (7.94) vs Hunter Greene (9-5) (2.83)
Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs / Cincinnati Reds --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Cincinnati Reds and the Chicago Cubs square off Sunday in MLB action from Wrigley Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Cincinnati Reds will send out Hunter Greene for the start here and Greene is 9-5 with a 2.83 ERA and 166 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Cubs, Greene is 9-5 with a 3-1 with a 3.77 ERA and 37 strikeouts. Caleb Kilian will get the nod for the Cubs and is 0-1 with a 7.94 ERA and 3 strikeouts this season. This will be Kilian’s first career start against the Reds.
Cincinnati Reds Recap
The Cincinnati Reds come into this one looking to avoid the sweep after a 3-0 loss at the hands of the Cubs on Saturday. The loss for the Reds in the series meant that Cincinnati would finish the year with back-to-back series losses after falling flat against the Guardians to start the week.
Reds Building Momentum For 2025
Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds with 159 hits, 25 home runs and 74 RBIs with 69 stolen bases along with a .259 batting average as well. Spencer Steer has a team-high 92 RBIs with 34 doubles, 20 home runs and 25 stolen bases while Will Benson also has 19 doubles with 14 stolen bases but also has 154 strikeouts. De La Cruz also has a team-high 216 strikeouts so far this season. Jeimer Candelario also has 23 doubles as well as 20 home runs, 56 RBIs and 96 hits this season for Cincinnati.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Cubs have lost four of their last five games against the Reds following a win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in five of their last six games against the Cubs following a loss.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 16 home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Chicago Cubs Recap
The Chicago Cubs come into this game looking to finish the year with a sweep of the Reds after their victory in Saturday’s matchup. The win in the series helped the Cubs finish the year by bouncing back from a series loss to the Phillies to start the week.
Cubs Trying To Finish On High Note
Cody Bellinger has 137 hits including 23 doubles, 18 home runs and 78 RBIs. Nico Hoerner has 158 hits, 35 doubles and a .274 batting average. Michael Busch has 21 homers with 65 RBIs but has 162 strikeouts as well this season. Ian Happ also has a team-high 34 doubles with 25 home runs and 86 RBIs but also has 167 strikeouts this season. Seiya Suzuki’s also chipped in 21 homers and 73 RBIs along with 6 triples this season while Pete Crow-Armstrong has 6 triples and 27 stolen bases, only trailing Hoerner’s 30 stolen bags this year.
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Reds have lost each of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have won eight of their last nine day games against National League opponents.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in five of their last six day games against National League opponents following a win.
Reds vs. Cubs Prediction
I’m on the Reds here. Kilian’s been brutal as a starter whenever he’s been in that role over the course of his career, and Hunter Greene is simply the far better option in that regard. I also feel that this Reds lineup is too talented to close out the year struggling as much as they are at the plate, so I’ll roll with the Reds to bounce back in the season finale.
Chris’s Pick Cincinnati Reds
AUTHOR: Chris Ruffolo
Mitch's Take...
