Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Prediction MLB Picks 9/29/24

Minnesota Twins (82-77) vs Baltimore Orioles (88-71)

Game Info: Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 3:10 pm (Target Field)

Bailey Ober (12-8) (3.94) vs Dean Kremer (8-10) (4.10)

Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins / Baltimore Orioles --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Baltimore Orioles and Minnesota Twins meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at Target Field. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Prediction. This article will include a Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Pick.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 90-71 on the year after playing the Tigers and Yankees. The Baltimore Orioles have scored 17 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 9 games. The Baltimore Orioles have won 6 of their last 7 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Gunnar Henderson leads the Baltimore Orioles with 177 hits and 92 RBI, while Adley Rutschman and Anthony Santander have combined for 283 hits and 181 RBI.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 82-79 on the year after playing the Red Sox and Marlins. The Minnesota Twins have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Minnesota Twins have lost 14 straight games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 138 hits and 60 RBI, while Carlos Santana and Jose Miranda have combined for 237 hits and 119 RBI.

Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Pick Matchup

Albert Suarez gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 8-7 with a 3.74 ERA and 104 strikeouts this season. Suarez has allowed 23 hits and 15 runs in his last 18.2 innings. Suarez has a 3.53 ERA and .255 allowed batting average in 63.2 road innings. This will be Suarez’s second career game against the Minnesota Twins.

Bailey Ober gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 12-8 with a 3.94 ERA and 187 strikeouts this season. Ober has allowed 20 hits and 12 runs in his last 31.2 innings. Ober has a 4.27 ERA and .219 allowed batting average in 78 home innings. Ober is 1-0 with a 0.69 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • The Orioles have won each of their last eight games against the Twins following a win.
  • The Twins have lost each of their last seven games against the Orioles following a loss.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last nine games at Target Field.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 15 games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
  • The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against the Twins at Target Field.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Byron Buxton has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Bailey Ober has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ryan Jeffers has hit a home run in three of his last five home appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Max Kepler has recorded at least one hit in 16 of his last 17 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Carlos Correa has scored a run in four of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Carlos Santana has recorded at least one Single in each of the Twins' last five games against AL opponents at Target Field.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Ryan Mountcastle has recorded a Double in four of his five previous appearances at Target Field against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ramon Urias has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles' last five games at Target Field.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Anthony Santander has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against the Twins.
  • Ramon Urias has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ramon Urias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Twins.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Minnesota Twins rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (1492).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (431).
  • The Baltimore Orioles rank 4th in the league for runs scored this season (780).
  • The Baltimore Orioles rank T4th in the league for triples this season (33).

Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

The Baltimore Orioles don't have anything to play for as they're locked into a playoff series already, but it probably doesn't matter. The Minnesota Twins have won just two games since September 18 and look like a team that's ready for the offseason to get here. I have no choice but to lean toward the Orioles, given how the Twins are piling up the losses. 

Randy’s Pick Baltimore Orioles

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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