Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Picks 9/28/24

Boston Red Sox (80-78) vs Tampa Bay Rays (78-81)

Game Info: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 4:10 pm (Fenway Park)

Kutter Crawford (9-15) (4.20) vs Shane Baz (3-3) (3.07)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -106 / Tampa Bay Rays -111 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article, we will formulate a Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 28th, at Fenway Park. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Rays  recent form and recent player performance 

-The Red Sox recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Tampa Bay

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston

-Recent betting trends in games played between Tampa Bay and Boston.

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Rays and Red Sox. 

Rays Offense Struggled 

The Rays were able to win on Friday but the offense still struggled scoring only two runs. The good news for the Rays was the pitching was good giving up only one run. Taj Bradley went six innings giving up three hits and zero runs. The Rays are averaging 3.74 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.13 runs per game. The offense is ranked 29th in the league while the pitching is ranked 11th. Brandon Lowe has hit 21 home runs and driven in 58 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Rays will be Shane Baz who sits with a 3-3 record and an ERA of 3.07. In his last start against the Toronto Blue Jays he went six innings giving up four hits and one run. 

Why the Rays Will Beat the Red Sox

  • The Rays have won each of their last six games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last 10 road games against the Red Sox.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 games against the Rays at Fenway Park following a home loss.

Red Sox Offense Has to be Better

The Red Sox offense only scored one run on Friday and that led to the defeat. Nick Pivetta went 6.2 innings giving up four hits and two runs. The Red Sox are averaging 4.69 runs per game while their defense is giving up 4.64 runs per game. The offense is ranked 9th in the league while the defense is ranked 23rd in the league. Tyler O’Neil has hit 31 home runs and driven in 61 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Red Sox will be Kutter Crawford who sits with a 9-15 record and an ERA of 4.17. In his last start against the Minnesota Twins he went 7.2 innings giving up eight hits and three runs. 

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

This game is going to be a pitchers' duel. Crawford in his last start gave up three runs but he’s going to be even better here. Baz gave up only one run in his last start and that is going to be the difference here. Look for neither the Rays or Red Sox to score three runs and that is going to be the difference here. This game is going to finish with four or five runs. Back the under to cash here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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