San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction MLB Picks 9/28/24

Arizona Diamondbacks (88-71) vs San Diego Padres (91-68)

Game Info: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 8:10 pm (Chase Field)

Eduardo Rodriguez (3-4) (5.56) vs Martin Perez (5-5) (4.18)

Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks / San Diego Padres --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The San Diego Padres and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet Saturday in MLB action from Chase Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

San Diego did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted. Arizona will send out Eduardo Rodriguez here and Rodriguez is 3-4 with a 5.56 ERA and 44 strikeouts this season.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres come into this one looking to build on their series-opening 5-3 win over the Diamondbacks from Friday’s matchup. The win on Friday put the Padres in a good spot to head into the postseason on a high note and to bounce back from a series loss to the Dodgers from earlier in the week.

Padres Clinch Home Field In Wild Card

Jurickson Profar has 157 hits along with a .280 batting average and 29 doubles with 24 homers and 85 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 82 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted 21 home runs, 49 RBIs and 110 hits as well this season. Manny Machado has 163 hits, 29 home runs and 105 RBIs but also has 123 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 94 hits with 3 triples, 16 doubles, 11 home runs, 47 RBIs and a team-high 22 stolen bases. Jackson Merrill has also chipped in 24 home runs, 90 RBIs and 31 doubles with 6 triples this season.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

  • The Diamondbacks have lost five of their last six home games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The road team has won four of the last five games between the Padres and Diamondbacks.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games at Chase Field against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against National League opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this one looking to bounce back after starting the series with a flat showing in Friday’s matchup. The Diamondbacks have put themselves in a tough spot to bounce back from their series loss to the Giants from earlier in the week.

Diamondbacks Trying To Secure Playoff Bid

Ketel Marte has 145 hits in addition to a .292 batting average and 23 doubles with 35 home runs and 93 RBIs while Lourdes Gurriel Jr. also has 18 home runs and 74 RBIs as well this season. Corbin Carroll has a team-high 33 stolen bases, 14 triples, 22 home runs and 74 RBIs while Eugenio Suarez has 29 home runs, a team-high 99 RBIs and 172 strikeouts this season. Christian Walker also has 26 home runs with 84 RBIs of his own in addition to 132 strikeouts this season.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

  • The Diamondbacks have won four of their last five games against the Padres following a loss.
  • The Padres have lost seven of their last eight Saturday night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in four of their last five games against the Padres following a loss.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight Saturday night games against teams that held a winning record.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

I’m on the Diamondbacks in this one. I also lean towards the over as there’s a high-scoring game brewing here in my opinion, but I think that the Diamondbacks have the motivation angle here. The Padres are playing in the Wild Card round and have home field so it shouldn’t come as a shock that some guys may rest. Arizona obviously doesn’t have that luxury, and I think Arizona has all hands on deck in this one. Give me the Diamondbacks.

Chris’s Pick Arizona Diamondbacks / OVER

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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