Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB Picks 9/1/24

Philadelphia Phillies (79-56) vs Atlanta Braves (74-61)

Game Info: Sunday, September 1, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Aaron Nola (12-6) (3.35) vs Spencer Schwellenbach (5-6) (3.72)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -137 / Atlanta Braves +116 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies meet Sunday in MLB game 4 action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Pick.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 74-62 on the year and play the Rockies and Blue Jays next. The Atlanta Braves have scored 11 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 games. The Atlanta Braves have won 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Marcell Ozuna leads the Atlanta Braves with 157 hits and 98 RBI, while Matt Olson and Austin Riley have combined for 228 hits and 133 RBI.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 80-56 on the year and play the Blue Jays and Marlins next. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 games. The Philadelphia Phillies have won 4 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Alec Bohm leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 147 hits and 89 RBI, while Nick Castellanos and Bryce Harper have combined for 256 hits and 149 RBI.

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Pick Matchup

Spencer Schwellenbach gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 5-6 with a 3.72 ERA and 102 strikeouts this season. Schwellenbach has allowed 24 hits and 10 runs in his last 29.1 innings. Schwellenbach has a 3.57 ERA and .231 allowed abutting average in 45.1 road innings. Schwellenbach is 2-0 with a 2.13 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Aaron Nola gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 12-6 with a 3.30 ERA and 153 strikeouts this season. Nola has allowed 36 hits and 9 earned runs in his last 30 innings. Nola has a 2.87 ERA and .216 allowed batting average in 87.2 home innings. Nola is 16-11 with a 3.60 ERA and 219 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

  • The Phillies have won eight of their last nine games at Citizens Bank Park against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have lost four of their last five games at Citizens Bank Park against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games at Citizens Bank Park following a loss.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Trea Turner has hit a home run in four of his last seven home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Aaron Nola has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances at Citizens Bank Park against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Trea Turner has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances at Citizens Bank Park against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in 12 of his last 14 appearances against NL East opponents at Citizens Bank Park.
  • Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one total base in each of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in 13 of his last 15 appearances against the Braves at Citizens Bank Park.
  • Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine Sunday night appearances with his team as a favorite.
  • Aaron Nola ranks T10th in the league for Wins (12) this season.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded a Single in nine of the Braves' last 10 night games.
  • Gio Urshela has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 road appearances against the Phillies.
  • Adam Duvall has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Adam Duvall has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances against the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded a Double in each of his last three road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances with the Braves as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • Marcell Ozuna ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.307) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 4th in the league for ERA this season (3.69).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.64).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (128).

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Atlanta Braves are fresh off getting shutout, and now they get to face Aaron Nola. That's not ideal for the Braves. Spencer Schwellenbach has held his own this season, but he's not Nola, especially at home, where he has a 2.87 ERA and .216 allowed batting average. It's not often you get Nola at this cheap of a price at home. Sunday night, give me the home team to get a much-needed win. 

Randy’s Pick Philadelphia Phillies -137

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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