Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB Picks 8/30/24

Philadelphia Phillies (78-55) vs Atlanta Braves (73-60)

Game Info: Friday, August 30, 2024 at 6:40 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Ranger Suarez (11-5) (2.97) vs Reynaldo Lopez (7-4) (2.02)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -135 / Atlanta Braves +115 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies meet Friday in MLB game 2 action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Pick.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 73-61 on the year after playing the Nationals and Twins. The Atlanta Braves have scored 17 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games. The Atlanta Braves have won 4 of their last 5 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Marcell Ozuna leads the Atlanta Braves with 155 hits and 98 RBI, while Matt Olson and Austin Riley have combined for 226 hits and 132 RBI.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 79-55 on the year after playing the Royals and Astros. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The Philadelphia Phillies have won 4 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Alec Bohm leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 147 hits and 89 RBI, while Nick Castellanos and Bryce Harper have combined for 253 hits and 149 RBI.

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Pick Matchup

Reynaldo Lopez gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 7-4 with a 2.02 ERA and 119 strikeouts this season. Lopez has allowed 8 hits and 2 runs in his last 11 innings. Lopez has a 2.45 ERA and .251 allowed batting average in 47.2 road innings. Lopez is 2-0 with a 2.37 ERA and 22 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Ranger Suarez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 11-5 with a 2.82 ERA and 122 strikeouts this season. Suarez has allowed 11 hits and 4 runs in his last 10.1 innings. Suarez has a 2.86 ERA and .234 allowed batting average in 56.2 home innings. Suarez is 2-3 with a 3.72 ERA and 62 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Braves have won six of their last seven games as road underdogs following a loss.
  • The Phillies have lost four of their last five Friday games as favorites.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six road games after playing the previous day.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games at Citizens Bank Park against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Nick Castellanos has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with the Phillies as home favorites against the Braves.
  • Trea Turner has scored a run in each of his last six appearances at Citizens Bank Park against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • J.T. Realmuto has recorded a Single in each of his last seven appearances against NL opponents at Citizens Bank Park.
  • Brandon Marsh has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances at Citizens Bank Park against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ranger Suarez has recorded five or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances.
  • Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Phillies' last eight home games.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Matt Olson has hit at least one home run in each of the Braves' last three road games against NL East opponents.
  • Matt Olson has recorded at least one Double in four of the Braves' last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded a Single in each of the Braves' last eight night games.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one total base in each of the Braves' last 11 games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Adam Duvall has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances against the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in 18 of his last 19 Friday appearances.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves' last 11 night games.
  • Marcell Ozuna ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.308) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 4th in the league for ERA this season (3.69).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank T29th in the league for steals this season (55).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.65).

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies are going to get the benefit of the doubt more times than not at home. However, the Braves have been hot offensively this week, and getting plus money with Reynaldo Lopez on the mound feels like a steal. With a 2.02 ERA and 1.18 WHIP, Lopez has been one of the best pitchers in baseball this season. Also, Ranger Suarez has pitched just once this month, so we'll see how that impacts his rhythm. The value is with the Braves and the more favorable price in this big NL East showdown between two all stars.

Randy’s Pick Atlanta Braves +115

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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