Baltimore Orioles (74-54) vs Houston Astros (68-58)
Game Info: Thursday, August 22, 2024 at 7:08 pm (Oriole Park at Camden Yards)
Corbin Burnes (12-5) (3.16) vs Spencer Arrighetti (5-11) (5.20)
Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -169 / Houston Astros +144 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Houston Astros and the Baltimore Orioles meet Saturday in MLB action from Camden Yards. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Houston Astros will send out Spencer Arrighetti for the start here and Arrighetti is 5-11 with a 5.20 ERA and 134 strikeouts this season. This will be Arrighetti’s first career start against the Orioles. Corbin Burnes will get the nod for the Orioles and is 12-5 with a 3.10 ERA and 144 strikeouts this season. In his career, Burnes is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 10 strikeouts against Houston.
Houston Astros Recap
The Houston Astros come into this one looking to rebound after losing their series with the Boston Red Sox thanks to a 4-1 loss in Wednesday’s rubber match. The series loss snapped Houston’s series win streak after taking down the White Sox and Rays over the last week and a half.
Astros Trying To Lock Up AL West
Jose Altuve has 151 hits and a .300 batting average with 16 home runs, 53 RBIs and 22 doubles while Yordan Alvarez also has 25 homers with 66 RBIs and 29 doubles. Altuve has the Astros’ team lead with 18 stolen bases so far this season. Jeremy Pena also has 131 hits and a .275 batting average as well as 15 stolen bases of his own this season. Alex Bregman’s added 20 homers and 60 RBIs and 25 doubles also.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Orioles have lost each of their last 10 night games against the Astros at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a loss.
- The Astros have won each of their last eight road games.
- The Astros have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs against American League opponents following a home loss.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against the Astros at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a loss.
Baltimore Orioles Recap
The Baltimore Orioles come into this game looking to bounce back after ending up with a 4-3 loss at the hands of the New York Mets in Wednesday’s series finale, giving the Orioles a series loss, failing to build on their series split with the Boston Red Sox from last weekend.
Orioles Stuck In Dogfight Atop AL East
Gunnar Henderson leads the Orioles with 143 hits, along with 33 home runs, 78 RBIs and 6 triples but also has a team-high 129 strikeouts in addition to 15 stolen bases. Adley Rutschman has 118 hits with 18 home runs and 71 RBIs in addition to 16 doubles while Anthony Santander has 20 doubles with 37 home runs and 82 RBIs. Colton Cowser has 19 doubles and Ryan Mountcastle has 28 doubles and Jordan Westburg has a team-high 25 doubles. Cedric Mullins has also contributed a team-high 23 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won eight of their last nine night games against AL West opponents.
- The Astros have lost each of their last four night games against the Orioles following a home loss.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine night games against the Orioles following a loss.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in 13 of their last 15 games after playing the previous day.
Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
I’m on the over here. I don’t trust either starter in this one, which doesn’t surprise me with Spencer Arrighetti, as every time I seem ready to trust him, he falls apart. On the other side, Corbin Burnes is a solid option, but he’s had issues in his career against the Astros and has been hit somewhat hard in recent outings. I think we have a high-scoring affair brewing between two talented lineups, so give me the over here.
Chris’s Pick Over 8
AUTHOR: Chris Ruffolo
Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg