Detroit Tigers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB Picks 8/20/24

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 61-64 this season and they have lost four of their last six games. Chicago is coming off of a series win against Toronto, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Cubs lost all three against the Guardians, won both against the White Sox, and won two out of three against the Twins. Chicago is 6-4 in their last 10 games and they are tied for third in the NL Central. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 522 runs with a .234 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Seiya Suzuki is batting .263 with 16 home runs and 56 RBI’s for the Cubs this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Bryan Sammons, who is 0-0 with a 3.38 ERA and a 0.70 WHIP over 18.2 innings pitched this year. Sammons has allowed two earned runs in his last 11.1 innings. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Javier Assad, who is 5-3 with a 3.19 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 107.1 innings pitched this year. Assad has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but he has gone past 4.2 innings in just one of those outings. 

Why the Cubs will beat the Tigers

• The Cubs have won each of their last seven home games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Tigers have lost each of their last four games against the Cubs following a win.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in four of their last five home games against American League opponents following a home loss.

Why the Tigers will beat the Cubs

• The Tigers have won each of their last four road games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Cubs have lost each of their last three games against AL Central opponents.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last eight road games following a win.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games at Wrigley Field against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Tigers' last five games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Cubs' last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Cubs' last four night games against American League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Tigers' last three road games against NL Central opponents.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs' last nine night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Cody Bellinger has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Ian Happ has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Cubs' last four games at Wrigley Field against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Cody Bellinger has scored at least one run in each of his last 10 Tuesday night appearances at Wrigley Field.
• Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cubs' last nine night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Javier Baez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Riley Greene has hit a home run in each of the Tigers' last two night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Javier Baez has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Wenceel Perez has scored a run in eight of the Tigers' last nine road games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Matt Vierling has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
• Javier Baez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Javier Baez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Detroit Tigers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 

Detroit comes into this matchup with plenty of momentum after winning two out of three against the Yankees and walking off their game on Sunday night in the Little League Classic. The Tigers are 30-32 on the road, while the Cubs are 34-28 at home. Chicago has been very inconsistent with their offense this season, but they are most likely facing a bullpen day by Detroit, so they should find some success. The Cubs are starting Javier Assad, who has been decent in recent outings, but has not offered many innings. I think both offenses are going to find success here, so my Detroit Tigers vs Chicago Cubs prediction is for this game to go over the total.