Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers Prediction MLB Picks 8/18/24

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 70-53 this season, and they have won five of their last six games. Minnesota has won the first three games in this series by scores of 3-2, 4-3, and 5-2. Prior to this series, the Twins won two out of three against the Royals, split four games with the Guardians, and lost two out of three against the Cubs. Minnesota is 7-3 in their last 10 games, and they are second in the AL Central. 

The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.07 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 600 runs with a .252 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Carlos Santana is batting .241 with 17 home runs and 54 RBI’s for the Twins this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Tyler Mahle, who is 0-1 with a 2.79 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 9.2 innings pitched this year. Mahle has allowed three earned runs and eight hits in two starts against Houston and Boston. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Pablo Lopez, who is 11-8 with a 4.67 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 135.0 innings pitched this season. Lopez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. 

Why the Rangers will beat the Twins

• The underdogs have won three of the Rangers' last four games.
• The Twins have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a road win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last seven games between the Twins and Rangers at Globe Life Field.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games as favorites against AL West opponents.

Why the Twins will beat the Rangers

• The Twins have won each of their last seven day games against AL West opponents.
• The Rangers have lost eight of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
• The Twins have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 road games against AL West opponents following a win.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games against American League opponents following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Rangers' last nine games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Twins' last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Twins' last three games as favorites against American League opponents.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Corey Seager has hit at least one home run in two of his last three appearances with the Rangers as underdogs against the Twins.
• Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Rangers' last six games as underdogs.
• Marcus Semien has recorded at least one total base in each of the Rangers' last 14 games against AL Central opponents at Globe Life Field.
• Tyler Mahle has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 12 Sunday appearances in day games.
• Marcus Semien has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers' last 13 games against AL Central opponents.
• Marcus Semien has scored at least one run in six of the Rangers' last seven games against AL Central opponents.
• Carson Kelly has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Pablo Lopez has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last eight road appearances against AL West opponents.
• Pablo Lopez has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with the Twins as road favorites against AL opponents.
• Manuel Margot has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four road appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Carlos Correa has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight road appearances.
• Ryan Jeffers has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances at Globe Life Field against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Byron Buxton has recorded at least one Double in five of his last six road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Christian Vazquez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against AL opponents.

Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 

Minnesota comes into this game looking to complete a four game sweep, and they are getting very close to Cleveland for first in the AL Central. The Twins are 34-29 on the road this year, while the Rangers are 31-30 at home. Texas continues to struggle, and it does not look like they are going to turn things around. Texas is starting Tyler Mahle, who has pitched well in his first two starts this year. Minnesota is going with Pablo Lopez, who has an elevated ERA on the season, but he has been pretty sharp recently. This is a pretty decent pitching matchup and I think runs are going to be hard to come by, so my Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins prediction is for this game to go under the total.