Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB Picks 8/13/24

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 70-49 this season and they have won three of their last five games. Baltimore is coming off of a series win against Tampa Bay, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Blue Jays, split four games with the Guardians, and won three out four against the Blue Jays. Baltimore is 5-5 in their last 10 games and they are battling the Yankees in the AL East. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 603 runs with a .256 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Anthony Santander is batting .243 with 35 home run and 79 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Jake Irvin, who is 8-10 with a 3.76 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 139.0 innings pitched this year. Irvin has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Trevor Rogers, who is 2-10 with a 4.71 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP over 114.2 innings pitched this season. Rogers has allowed seven earned runs over 9.1 innings in two starts since coming over from Miami. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Nationals

• The Nationals have lost each of their last seven night games against the Orioles following a loss.
• The Orioles have won each of their last six games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last five games.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine Tuesday night games against teams that held a winning record.

Why the Nationals will beat the Orioles

• The Orioles have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against National League opponents.
• The Nationals have won four of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 15 Tuesday games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against American League opponents following a home loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Twelve of the last 13 games between the Nationals and Orioles have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Nationals' last nine road games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Orioles' last four games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Nationals' last five Tuesday games against American League opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• James McCann has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a favorite against NL East opponents.
• Trevor Rogers has recorded four or more strikeouts in 30 of his last 36 home appearances.
• Colton Cowser has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Orioles' last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Colton Cowser has hit a home run in two of the Orioles' last three home games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jordan Westburg has recorded a Double in five of the Orioles' last six games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• Anthony Santander has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles' last six games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Colton Cowser has recorded at least one Single in each of the Orioles' last seven games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Luis Garcia has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Luis Garcia has recorded two or more total bases in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Harold Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last three road appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Joey Gallo has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Orioles.
• Luis Garcia has recorded two or more hits in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Jacob Young has scored at least one run in five of the Nationals' last six games.

Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 

Baltimore comes into this series locked into a very tight battle with the Yankees for first in the AL East. The Orioles are 34-25 at home this year and they need to pick up every win they possibly can. Washington is 26-33 on the road this season, but their offense has been decent in recent series. The Nationals are going with Jake Irvin, who has not been very sharp lately. The Orioles are starting Trevor Rogers, who they just acquired from Miami, but I am not a huge fan. I think we could see a higher scoring game in this matchup, so my Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles prediction is for this game to go over the total.