New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction MLB Picks 7/21/24

Miami Marlins (34-63) vs New York Mets (49-47)

Game Info: Sunday, July 21, 2024 at 1:40 pm (loanDepot park)

Trevor Rogers (1-9) (4.72) vs Christian Scott (0-2) (4.36)

Betting Odds: Miami Marlins +125 / New York Mets -147 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New York Mets and the Miami Marlins square off Sunday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will send out Christian Scott for the start here and Scott is 0-2 with a 4.36 ERA and 35 strikeouts this season. This will be Scott’s second career start against the Marlins. Trevor Rogers will get the start for the Marlins here and is 1-9 with a 4.72 ERA and 79 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Mets, Rogers is 0-3 with a 5.01 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to win the rubber match of this series after ending up with a narrow 1-0 win over the Marlins in Saturday’s matchup, evening the series up at one win apiece. The win gave the Mets a chance to keep their series win streak alive, which includes series wins over the Rockies and Nationals prior to the all-star break.

Mets Trying To Leapfrog In NL Playoff Race

Starling Marte has 68 hits and a .278 batting average while Pete Alonso has a team-high 19 home runs and 51 RBIs with 22 doubles as well. Francisco Lindor has 26 doubles of his own with 17 home runs and 52 RBIs along with 19 stolen bases while Marte also has 12 stolen bases. Brandon Nimmo has a team-high 63 RBIs and 101 strikeouts while Lindor has a team-high 99 hits as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

  • The Marlins have lost eight of their last nine games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Mets have won six of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven home games against NL East opponents following a loss.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 road games against NL East opponents following a win.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins will look to bounce back after falling flat in Saturday’s matchup. The loss put the Marlins risk of another series loss after back-to-back losses to the Reds and Astros prior to the all-star break.

Marlins Hoping To Play Spoiler Amid Lost Season

Bryan De La Cruz has 92 hits including 16 doubles, 16 home runs and 44 RBIs while Josh Bell has 17 doubles, 9 home runs and 40 RBIs of his own. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has 90 hits with 12 doubles, 4 triples, 12 home runs, 42 RBIs and a team-high 19 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Marlins have won each of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Mets have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Marlins following a win.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last six home games against National League opponents.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against teams that held a losing record.

Mets vs. Marlins Prediction

I’m on the Marlins here. I like the Mets’ lineup, but I don’t really trust Christian Scott as a starting option and the Mets bullpen has had the worst staff ERA in baseball in the month of July. Miami has an offense that’s inconsistent and a lot of times, when it is consistent, it can be extremely hard to trust. However, Trevor Rogers has done a good job lately of keeping the Marlins competitive early on, and the offense did show up on Friday, let’s hope it can again. Give me Miami.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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