Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Prediction MLB Picks 7/10/24

San Diego Padres (49-46) vs Seattle Mariners (50-43)

Game Info: Wednesday, July 10, 2024 at 6:40 pm (Petco Park)

Michael King (7-5) (3.51) vs Bryce Miller (6-7) (3.84)

Betting Odds: San Diego Padres -135 / Seattle Mariners +115 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 10th at Petco Park in San Diego, California. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

  • The Mariners recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Padres recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Seattle
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving San Diego
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Seattle and San Diego
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Seattle and San Diego

Mariners Trying to Maintain Offense 

The Seattle Mariners are 50-43 this season and they have won three of their last five games. Seattle won game one in this series by a score of 8-3 on Tuesday night. Prior to this series, the Mariners lost two out of three against the Blue Jays, lost two out of three against the Orioles, and lost two out of three against the Twins. Seattle is 3-6 in their last nine games and they are first in the AL West. 

The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.54 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP, and a .219 opponent batting average. The Mariners offense has scored 358 runs with a .218 batting average and a .299 on base percentage. Cal Raleigh is batting .210 with 17 home runs and 55 RBI’s for the Mariners this season. Seattle has scored at least four runs in three straight games. 

Padres Need to Find Some Pitching 

The San Diego Padres are 49-46 this year and they have lost three games in a row. San Diego lost the first game in this series on Tuesday, where they allowed eight runs in the loss. Prior to this series, the Padres lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks, won two out of three against the Rangers, and won two out of three against the Red Sox. San Diego is 3-5 in their last eight games and they are second in the NL West. 

The San Diego pitching staff has a 4.20 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .250 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 440 runs with a .262 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Manny Machado is batting .263 with 12 home runs and 50 RBI’s for the Padres this season. San Diego has allowed seven runs or more in four straight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Bryce Miller, who is 6-7 with a 3.84 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 103.0 innings pitched this year. Miller has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Michael King, who is 7-5 with a 3.51 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 105.0 innings pitched this season. King has allowed one earned run in three of his last four outings. 

Why the Padres will beat the Mariners

  • The Padres have won 10 of their last 11 home games against AL West opponents.
  • The Mariners have lost eight of their last nine road games following a road win.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games at Petco Park against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five road games against National League opponents following a road win.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Padres' last 11 home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Seven of the Mariners' last eight day games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Padres' last four home games.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mariners' last four road games against National League opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit a home run in three of the Padres' last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jurickson Profar has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances at Petco Park against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine Wednesday appearances.
  • Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres' last nine home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded an RBI in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances at Petco Park.
  • Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one total base in 15 of his last 16 appearances with his team as a favorite against the Mariners.
  • Luis Arraez ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.309) this season.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • J.P. Crawford has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with the Mariners as underdogs against NL West opponents.
  • Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in three of the Mariners' last four road games.
  • Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Mariners' last five games against the Padres at Petco Park.
  • J.P. Crawford has scored a run in six of the Mariners' last seven road games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • J.P. Crawford has recorded a Single in each of his last seven appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Bryce Miller has recorded four or more strikeouts in seven of his eight previous appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ty France has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mariners' last seven games against the Padres.
  • Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners' last nine road games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The San Diego Padres rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (830).
  • The San Diego Padres rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (641).
  • The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (961).
  • The Seattle Mariners rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (218).

Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Prediction 

Seattle was able to pick up a road win in game one of this series, which is huge for them because they are just 20-25 on the road this season. The Mariners have a very good pitching staff, but they are one of the lowest scoring teams in the MLB this season. San Diego is 25-25 at home this year, but their pitching staff is a disaster right now. The Padres are starting Michael King, who has been very good recently. The Mariners are going with Bryce Miller, who is having an excellent season. Seattle’s offense has been better in their last few games, but I still don’t trust them on the road. My Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres prediction is for the Padres to get the win. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 7/20/24 | Ron's Rundown

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