Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB Picks 7/10/24

Baltimore Orioles (57-34) vs Chicago Cubs (43-49)

Game Info: Wednesday, July 10, 2024 at 6:35 pm (Oriole Park at Camden Yards)

Corbin Burnes (9-3) (2.40) vs Shota Imanaga (7-2) (3.16)

Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -165 / Chicago Cubs +140 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 10th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

  • The Cubs recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Orioles recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Baltimore
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Chicago and Baltimore 
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Chicago and Baltimore

Cubs are Heating Up 

The Chicago Cubs are 43-49 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Chicago won the first game in this series by a score of 9-2 on Tuesday night. Prior to this series, the Cubs won two out of three against the Angels, lost two out of three against the Phillies, and lost two out of three against the Brewers. Chicago is 5-4 in their last nine games and they are last in the NL Central. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 383 runs with a .230 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Nico Hoerner is batting .245 with four home runs and 25 RBI’s for the Cubs this season. Chicago has scored at least five runs in four of their last five games. 

Orioles Looking to Gain Momentum 

The Baltimore Orioles are 57-34 this year and they have alternated wins and losses over their last six games. Baltimore dropped the first game in this series on Tuesday and they allowed nine runs in the loss. Prior to this series, the Orioles won two out of three against the Athletics, won two out of three against the Mariners, and won three out of four against the Rangers. Baltimore is 4-4 in their last eight games, but they continue to lead the AL East over the Yankees. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.61 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a .227 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 466 runs with a .255 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .293 with 27 home runs and 61 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. Baltimore has allowed at least seven runs in three of their last five games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Shota Imanaga, who is 7-2 with a 3.16 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 91.0 innings pitched this year. Imanaga has allowed at least three earned runs in three consecutive starts. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Corbin Burnes, who is 9-3 with a 2.32 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 112.2 innings pitched this season. Burnes has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Cubs

  • The Cubs have lost each of their last 11 road games following a road win.
  • The Orioles have won six of their last seven night games after playing the previous day.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven road games following a road win.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last six Wednesday night games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Six of the Orioles' last seven games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Cubs' last seven games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Orioles' last five home games against National League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Cubs' last three games as road underdogs.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Anthony Santander has hit at least one home run in four of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 home appearances.
  • Anthony Santander has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Orioles' last four games against NL opponents.
  • Cedric Mullins has scored a run in four of his five previous appearances against the Cubs.
  • Corbin Burnes has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
  • Austin Hays has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one total base in 17 of his last 18 appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Orioles' last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Ian Happ has scored at least one run in six of the Cubs' last seven games as underdogs.
  • Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one total base in each of the Cubs' last 10 road games.
  • Shota Imanaga has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cubs' last six night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ian Happ has hit at least one home run in each of the Cubs' last two games as underdogs.
  • Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Nico Hoerner has recorded an RBI in four of the Cubs' last five games.

Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 

Baltimore comes into this game leading the AL East standings and they are 29-18 at home this year, but they were blown out in game one and they are just .500 over the last eight games. The Orioles are one of the best teams in the MLB so far this season, but they are fortunate that the Yankees are also struggling. Chicago is 18-28 on the road this year and they will look to Imanaga to figure things out, as he has struggled in his last three starts. Burnes has been very good for Baltimore all season long and my Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles prediction is for the Orioles to win by at least two runs. 

David’s Pick Orioles -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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