Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB Picks 7/5/24

Atlanta Braves (47-37) vs Philadelphia Phillies (57-29)

Game Info: Friday, July 5, 2024 at 7:20 pm (Truist Park)

Max Fried (7-3) (2.91) vs Aaron Nola (9-4) (3.51)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -141 / Philadelphia Phillies +119 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves meet Friday in MLB game 1 action at Truist Park. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction. This article will include a Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 57-30 on the year after games against the Marlins and Cubs. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 11 games. The Philadelphia Phillies have won 7 of their last 8 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Alec Bohm leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 97 hits and 70 RBI, while Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos have combined for 166 hits and 101 RBI.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 47-38 on the year after games against the Pirates and Giants. The Atlanta Braves have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 straight games. The Atlanta Braves have lost 5 of their last 7 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Marcell Ozuna leads the Atlanta Braves with 93 hits and 67 RBI, while Ozzie Albies and Matt Olson have combined for 156 hits and 80 RBI.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Pick Matchup

Aaron Nola gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 9-4 with a 3.43 ERA and 99 strikeouts this season. Nola has allowed 29 hits and 15 runs in his last 30.1 innings. Nola has a 3.18 ERA and .228 allowed batting average in 45.1 road innings. Nola is 15-14 with a 3.58 ERA and 206 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.

Max Fried gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 7-3 with a 2.91 ERA and 84 strikeouts this season. Fried has allowed 26 hits and 9 earned runs in his last 29.1 innings. Fried has a 2.92 ERA and .273 allowed batting average in 37 home innings. Fried is 4-4 with a 3.92 ERA and 86 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will Beat the Braves

  • The Phillies have won each of their last six night games against NL East opponents following a loss.
  • The Braves have lost each of their last three games as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line each of their last six night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line each of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have led after 5 innings in seven of their last nine games as road underdogs against National League opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Ozzie Albies has hit a home run in each of the Braves' last two games against the Phillies.
  • Adam Duvall has recorded a Double in three of the Braves' last four night games.
  • Austin Riley has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves' last four night games.
  • Max Fried has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Braves as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in night games.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 14 appearances against NL East opponents at Truist Park.
  • Adam Duvall has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances with the Braves as home favorites against NL opponents.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in 17 of his last 18 Friday appearances with the Braves as favorites.
  • Marcell Ozuna ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.554) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Alec Bohm has recorded a Double in each of the Phillies' last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Aaron Nola has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Trea Turner has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight road appearances against NL opponents.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with the Phillies as underdogs.
  • Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with the Phillies as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL opponents.
  • Bryce Harper has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against NL opponents.
  • David Dahl has hit a home run in five of his six previous appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • David Dahl has recorded at least one RBI in five of his six previous appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Bryson Stott ranks T9th in the league in Steals (20) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Atlanta Braves rank 3rd in the league for doubles this season (162).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 28th in the league for triples this season (8).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 2 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (316).

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

The Atlanta Braves are going to get the benefit of the doubt, especially at home and with Max Fried on the mound. However, we're getting the Phillies and Aaron Nola and plus money. The Phillies are arguably the best tea in baseball, and Nola is still one of the best pitchers in baseball. You're not going to get this spot in the underdog role often, and I say take advantage while you can. The value is on the Phillies in game 1 against the Braves.

Randy’s Pick Philadelphia Phillies +119

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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