Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB Picks 6/30/24

Philadelphia Phillies (53-28) vs Miami Marlins (29-52)

Game Info: Sunday, June 30, 2024 at 1:35 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Ranger Suarez (10-2) (2.01) vs Yonny Chirinos (0-0) (2.70)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies / Miami Marlins --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

In this article, we will formulate a Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 30th at Citizens Bank Park. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Marlins form and recent player performance 

-The Phillies recent form and recent play performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Miami

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia

-Recent betting trends in games played between Marlins vs Phillies

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Marlins and Phillies. 

Marlins Squeak Out Victory

It wasn’t the prettiest game, but the Marlins were able to squeak out a close victory on Saturday. The Marlins scored only three runs, but the pitching was lights out, and that was enough for them to win by a run. Robbery Munoz gave up two runs in 4.2 innings before the bullpen locked down. The Marlins are averaging 3.46 runs, while their pitching is giving up 5.0 runs per game. The offense is ranked 29th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 28th. They do have a negative run differential of -1.54 which is 28th in the league. Bryan De La Cruz has hit 14 home runs and driven in 49 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Marlins will be Yonny Chirinos who sits with a 0-0 record and an ERA of 2.70. In his last start against the Kansas City Royals, he went five innings, giving up three hits and one run. 

Why the Marlins Will Beat the Phillies

  • The Marlins have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Phillies.
  • The Phillies have lost five of their last six Sunday day games as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in five of their last six games against National League opponents.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.

Phillies Offense Looks to Bounce Back

The Phillies' offense hasn’t been held back in many games this season, but they were held back on Saturday, and they are going to need to be better here. Aaron Nola did get the start, and he went 6.2 innings, giving up six hits and three runs. The Phillies are averaging 5.01 runs, while their pitching is giving up 3.54 runs per game. The offense is ranked 3rd in the league, while the pitching is ranked 1st. They have a run differential of 1.48 which is 1st in the league. Bryce Harper has hit 20 home runs and driven in 58 RBis so far this season. Getting the start for the Phillies will be Ranger Suarez who sits with a 10-2 record and an ERA of 2.01. In his last start against the Detroit Tigers, he went six innings giving up eight hits and four runs. 

Why the Phillies Will Beat the Marlins

  • The Marlins have lost each of their last 12 games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a road win.
  • The Phillies have won each of their last nine games as favorites against NL East opponents following a home loss.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against NL East opponents following a home loss.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park following a win.
  • The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Marlins and Phillies are both going to really struggle to get the offense going here. Suarez has been really strong this season, and he sits with an ERA of 2.01. Chirinos gave up only one run in his last start, and he’s going to be strong again here. Both offenses are going to really struggle here, and that will be the difference here, as this game is going to end up staying under the total. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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