Minnesota Twins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction MLB Picks 6/27/24

Arizona Diamondbacks (39-40) vs Minnesota Twins (43-36)

Game Info: Thursday, June 27, 2024 at 3:40 pm (Chase Field)

Jordan Montgomery (6-4) (5.29) vs None None (0-0) (0.00)

Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks -109 / Minnesota Twins -110 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Minnesota Twins and Arizona Diamondbacks meet Thursday in MLB game 3 action at Chase Field. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Twins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pick.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 44-36 on the year and play the Mariners and Tigers next. The Minnesota Twins have scored 15 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games. The Minnesota Twins have won 8 of their last 11 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 76 hits and 26 RBI, while Carlos Correa and Carlos Santana have combined for 135 hits and 75 RBI.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 39-41 on the year and play the Athletics and Dodgers next. The Arizona Diamondbacks have scored 9 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 games. The Arizona Diamondbacks have won 14 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Ketel Marte leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 84 hits and 46 RBI, while Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and Christian Walker have combined for 153 hits and 95 RBI. The Diamondbacks will meet the A's, Dodgers, Padres, and Braves after this series.

Minnesota Twins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Pick Matchup

David Festa will make his major league debut when he takes the mound. Festa was 17-10 with a 3.41 ERA and 326 strikeouts in his minor league career. Festa was 10-11 with a 3.49 ERA and 138 strikeouts in his college career. Festa is a top-100 prospect in all of baseball, according to MLB.

Jordan Montgomery gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 6-4 with a 5.71 ERA and 44 strikeouts this season. Montgomery has allowed 22 hits and 11 earned runs in his last 18.2 innings. Montgomery has a 6.55 ERA and .324 allowed batting average in 33 home innings. Montgomery is 0-1 with a 7.01 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.

Why the Minnesota Twins will Beat the Diamondbacks

  • The Twins have won five of their last six day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Diamondbacks have lost 11 of their last 14 home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in nine of their last 11 day games against NL West opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games against teams that held a winning record.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Jordan Montgomery has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight Thursday appearances.
  • Jordan Montgomery has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances.
  • Randal Grichuk has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Tucker Barnhart has recorded a Single in four of his last five home appearances against the Twins.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded three or more total bases in each of his last five appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against the Twins.
  • Ketel Marte has scored at least one run in each of the Diamondbacks' last five home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Pavin Smith has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances at Chase Field.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Byron Buxton has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in 11 of his last 12 appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded a Single in eight of his last nine appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Carlos Santana has recorded two or more total bases in six of his last seven appearances in day games.
  • Byron Buxton has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine road appearances against NL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for hits allowed this season (723).
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 27th in the league for ERA this season (4.61).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 4th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.422).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 4th in the league for strikeouts this season (715).

Minnesota Twins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

I'm not a fan of backing pitchers making their big league debut because of the unknown and no sample size on this level. However, David Festa is a top-100 prospect in baseball and a top-5 prospect for the Twins, so he's not your usual prospect. Also, Jordan Montgomery has been a mess this season with an ERA of nearly 6 on the season, and he's been even worse at Chase Field. We're getting a talented pitcher in Festa at a pick em price and a chance to fade Montgomery. I have to lean toward the Twins in this spot.

Randy’s Pick Minnesota Twins -110

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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