New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction MLB Picks 6/5/24

Washington Nationals (27-33) vs New York Mets (26-35)

Game Info: Wednesday, June 5, 2024 at 4:05 pm (Nationals Park)

Patrick Corbin (1-6) (5.83) vs Luis Severino (3-2) (3.94)

Betting Odds: Washington Nationals +120 / New York Mets -140 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a New York Mets vs Washington Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 5th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

  • The Mets recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Nationals recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Washington 
  • Recent betting trends in games played between New York and Washington 
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between New York and Washington 

New York’s Offense is Hot 

The New York Mets are 26-35 this season and they have won four of their last six games. New York has won the first two games in this series by scores of 8-7 and 6-3. Prior to this series, the Mets split a four game series with the Diamondbacks, were swept by the Dodgers, and lost two out of three against the Giants. New York has had some recent success, but they are just 5-10 in their last 15 games. 

The New York pitching staff has a 4.26 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 263 runs with a .240 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .237 with 14 home runs and 31 RBI’s for the Mets this season. New York has scored 33 runs in their last five games and they are officially hot at the plate. 

Washington Needs More Consistent Play 

The Washington Nationals are 27-33 this year and they have lost four of their last five games. Washington has dropped the first two games in this series and they have allowed 14 runs in the two losses. Prior to this series, the Nationals lost two out of three against the Guardians, won three out of four against the Braves, and won two out of three against the Mariners. Washington is 6-8 in their last 14 games and they are currently third in the NL East. 

The Washington pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .255 opponent batting average. The Nationals offense has scored 240 runs with a .231 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. Jesse Winker is batting .244 with six home runs and 28 RBI’s for the Nationals this season. Washington has scored three runs or fewer in five of their last eight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Luis Severino, who is 3-2 with a 3.52 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 64.0 innings pitched this year. Severino has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Patrick Corbin, who is 1-6 with a 5.83 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP over 66.1 innings pitched this season. Corbin has allowed three earned runs for fewer in four of his last five starts, but did allow eight earned runs against Minnesota three starts ago. 

Why the New York Mets will win

The Nationals have lost each of their last five home games against National League opponents.The Mets have won 12 of their last 13 Wednesday day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games at Nationals Park against National League opponents that held a losing record.The Mets have covered the run line each of their last six Wednesday day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last five road day games.

Total Runs Facts

Eight of the Mets' last nine games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.Each of the Nationals' last four day games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Nationals' last six games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction 

New York comes into this game nine games below .500 and they have had a ton of issues so far this season, but they have won four of their last six games and their offense has really started to produce. Washington continues to be very inconsistent with their pitching and hitting, and they are starting Patrick Corbin. Corbin has had some decent starts recently, but he has horrible numbers on the season. New York is turning to Severino, who has better season numbers, but has had some issues recently. I know Severino has been hit hard in three of his last five starts, but this Mets offense is rolling right now and I have little faith in Corbin. My New York Mets vs Washington Nationals prediction is for the Mets to get the win. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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