Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB Picks 6/5/24

Philadelphia Phillies (42-19) vs Milwaukee Brewers (36-24)

Game Info: Wednesday, June 5, 2024 at 4:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Aaron Nola (7-2) (3.14) vs () ()

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies / Milwaukee Brewers --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Milwaukee Brewers and Philadelphia Phillies meet Wednesday in MLB game 3 action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 36-25 on the season and play the Tigers and Blue Jays next. The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Milwaukee Brewers have won 9 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 76 hits and 44 RBI while Willy Adames and Brice Turang have combined for 117 hits and 63 RBI.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 43-19 on the year and play the Mets and Red Sox next. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 9 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 9 games. The Philadelphia Phillies have won 10 of their last 12 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Alec Bohm leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 69 hits and 50 RBI while Bryce Harper and J.T. Realmuto have combined for 110 hits and 64 RBI.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Aaron Ashby gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 0-1 with a 9.82 ERA and 2 strikeouts this season. Ashby has just 3.2 innings under his belt this season. This will be Ashby’s 25th career start. Ashby is 1-1 with a 6.23 ERA and 5 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Aaron Nola gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 7-2 with a 3.03 ERA and 71 strikeouts this season. Nola has allowed 27 hits and 12 earned runs in his last 38 innings. Nola has a 4.01 ERA and .227 allowed batting average in 42.2 home innings. Nola is 6-2 with a 3.03 ERA and 81 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

  • The Phillies have won each of their last eight day games after going to extra innings.
  • The Brewers have lost each of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against National League opponents after going to extra innings.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine Wednesday day road games.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Aaron Nola has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in day games.
  • Aaron Nola has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in day games.
  • David Dahl has recorded at least one RBI in five of his six previous home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Trea Turner has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents at Citizens Bank Park.
  • David Dahl has hit a home run in five of his six previous home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances.
  • Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one Single in each of the Phillies' last six day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of his last nine appearances at Citizens Bank Park.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances at Citizens Bank Park.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents at Citizens Bank Park.
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Willy Adames has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers' last six day games.
  • William Contreras has recorded a Single in five of the Brewers' last six road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Rhys Hoskins has scored at least one run in six of his last seven appearances against NL East opponents at Citizens Bank Park.
  • William Contreras has recorded at least one total base in each of the Brewers' last eight day games against opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (575).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank T1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (49).
  • The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for batting average this season (.256).
  • The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.332).

Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies have been the better team in this series, and you should like their chances at home with the quick turnaround. It also doesn't hurt that Aaron Nola is on the mound. Nola has been money this season, and he's currently in the top-10 in terms of NL CY Young odds. Aaron Ashby has little reps on a big league mound the last two seasons, and this Phillies' lineup isn't what you face to get comfortable. Give me the Phillies and whatever the line is. I want nothing to do with the Brewers in this spot.

Randy’s Pick Philadelphia Phillies

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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