Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Picks 6/5/24

Boston Red Sox (30-31) vs Atlanta Braves (34-24)

Game Info: Wednesday, June 5, 2024 at 1:35 pm (Fenway Park)

Nick Pivetta (2-4) (4.08) vs Spencer Schwellenbach (0-1) (5.40)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -115 / Atlanta Braves -105 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate an Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 5th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

  • The Braves recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Red Sox recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Atlanta
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Atlanta and Boston
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Atlanta and Boston

Braves Going for the Mini Sweep 

The Atlanta Braves are 34-24 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Atlanta won game one in this series by a score of 8-3 on Tuesday night. Prior to this series, the Braves won two out of three against the Athletics, lost three out of four against the Nationals, and lost two out of three against the Pirates. Atlanta is 5-6 in their last 11 games and they are second in the NL East behind Philadelphia. 

The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.50 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 265 runs with a .250 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .313 with 17 home runs and 53 RBI’s for the Braves this season. Atlanta has allowed three runs or fewer in six of their last nine games. 

Red Sox Hovering Around .500 

The Boston Red Sox are 30-31 this year and they have lost four of their last six games. Boston lost game one in this series and they allowed eight runs in the loss. Prior to this series, the Red Sox split a four game series with the Tigers, lost two out of three against the Orioles, and lost two out of three against the Brewers. Boston is 4-7 in their last 11 games and they are third in the AL East behind New York and Baltimore. 

The Boston pitching staff has a 3.41 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 264 runs with a .242 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Rafael Devers is batting .282 with 11 home runs and 29 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season. Boston has allowed at least five runs in eight of their last twelve games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Spencer Schwellenbach, who is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 5.0 innings pitched this season. Schwellenbach allowed three earned runs and five hits over 5.0 innings against Washington in his first start. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Nick Pivetta, who is 2-4 with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 35.1 innings pitched this year. Pivetta has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. 

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

The Red Sox have won nine of their last 11 day games following a loss.The Braves have lost each of their last three day games against AL East opponents.The Red Sox have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents following a road win.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Red Sox's last four home games have gone OVER the total runs line.Four of the Braves' last five games as underdogs against the Red Sox have gone OVER the total runs line.The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Red Sox's last eight games as home favorites against National League opponents.The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Braves' last three games as underdogs against AL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 

Atlanta was able to get the win in game one of this series on Tuesday and they are 15-12 on the road so far this year. Boston is just 13-18 at home and their pitching staff has really struggled over the last two weeks. The Red Sox will start Nick Pivetta, who has been solid in recent outings. The Braves are going with Schwellenbach, who pitched just ok in his first start of the season. This is a tough game to get a read on, as Boston’s pitching staff has really regressed recently, but I also have little faith in the starting pitcher for Atlanta. I know Boston hasn’t been very good at home, but I am going to back Pivetta here. My Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox prediction is for the Red Sox to get the win. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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