St. Louis Cardinals vs Houston Astros Prediction MLB Picks 6/4/24

Houston Astros (27-34) vs St. Louis Cardinals (28-30)

Game Info: Tuesday, June 4, 2024 at 8:10 pm (Minute Maid Park)

Spencer Arrighetti (3-5) (5.98) vs Andre Pallante (1-1) (3.94)

Betting Odds: Houston Astros -145 / St. Louis Cardinals +125 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a St. Louis Cardinals vs Houston Astros prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 4th at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

  • The Cardinals recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Astros recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving St. Louis 
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Houston
  • Recent betting trends in games played between St. Louis and Houston
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between St. Louis and Houston

Cardinals Look For Better Pitching

The St. Louis Cardinals are 28-30 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. St. Louis dropped game one in this series and they allowed seven runs in the loss. Prior to this series, the Cardinals lost two out of three against the Phillies, won two out of three against the Reds, and won both games against the Cubs. St. Louis is 13-6 in their last 19 games and they are tied for second in the NL Central. 

The St. Louis pitching staff has a 4.08 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .252 opponent batting average. The Cardinals offense has scored 225 runs with a .233 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Nolan Gorman is batting .230 with 13 home runs and 30 RBI’s for the Cardinals this season. St. Louis is 18th in team ERA this season and they have allowed 21 runs in their last four games. 

Astros Lack Consistent Scoring 

The Houston Astros are 27-34 this year and they have alternated wins and losses over their last six games. Houston won game one by a score of 7-4 on Monday night. Prior to this series, the Astros lost two out of three against the Twins, lost three out of four against the Mariners, and won two out of three against the Athletics. Houston is just 5-7 in their last 12 games and they are third in the AL West behind Seattle and Texas. 

The Houston pitching staff has a 4.26 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Astros offense has scored 267 runs with a .258 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez is batting .287 with 12 home runs and 27 RBI’s for the Astros this season. Houston has scored three runs or fewer in five of their last eight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Andre Pallante, who is 1-1 with a 3.94 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP over 16.0 innings pitched this season. Pallante hasn’t been great as a reliever this year, but he did go six shutout innings against the Reds in his first start. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Spencer Arrighetti, who is 3-5 with a 5.98 ERA and a 1.65 WHIP over 43.2 innings pitched this year. Arrighetti has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts, but did allow nine earned runs and 15 hits in the other two outings in that span. 

Why the Houston Astros will win

The Astros have won seven of their last eight home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.The Cardinals have lost three of their last four road games.The Astros have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games at Minute Maid Park against National League opponents that held a losing record.The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six road games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

The Cardinals have won seven of their last eight night games against American League opponents following a road loss.The Astros have lost each of their last five games at Minute Maid Park following a win.The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games following a win.The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last four night games against American League opponents following a road loss.

Total Runs Facts

Nine of the Astros' last 10 games have gone UNDER the total runs line.Eight of the Cardinals' last nine night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Astros' last three home games.The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Cardinals' last three road games.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Houston Astros Prediction 

Houston was able to pick up the win in game one of this series on Monday, but Kyle Tucker left the game with an injury and the Astros are just 16-17 at home this year. St. Louis is 15-18 on the road, but they have played much better overall in the last three weeks. The Cardinals are starting Pallante, who had a great first start, but has been just average this year. The Astros are going with Arrighetti, who has been pretty inconsistent. I like how the Cardinals have played recently, but I don’t really like either starting pitcher. My St. Louis Cardinals vs Houston Astros prediction is for this game to go over the total. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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